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Balmaseda vs Lagun Onak

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 game between Balmaseda and Lagun Onak finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Balmaseda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Balmaseda
35%
Draws
20%
Lagun Onak
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Balmaseda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lagun Onak come out ahead of Balmaseda on wins alone.
  • Model gives Balmaseda a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Balmaseda Clean Sheet 68%
Lagun Onak Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balmaseda Lagun Onak
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 7 21
Draws 12 10
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Lagun Onak
2:0
May 1, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Balmaseda
2:1
May 10, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Balmaseda
0:0
Dec 21, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Lagun Onak
2:0
Feb 16, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Lagun Onak
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balmaseda 68 / 100
Lagun Onak 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balmaseda Lagun Onak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balmaseda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Balmaseda stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Balmaseda scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Lagun Onak has conceded goals in 65% of their last 43 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lagun Onak
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Balmaseda

(Home)
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3
Balmaseda
05 Jun
Balmaseda
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
29 May
Santurtzi
1 : 2
Balmaseda
23 May
Balmaseda
0 : 0
SCD Durango
19 May
Balmaseda
2 : 2
Santurtzi
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Lagun Onak

(Away)
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
San Ignacio
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2
Beasain
24 May
Derio
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
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