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Baltimore vs Triomphe Liancourt

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baltimore play Triomphe Liancourt in the Championnat National. It looks like a close match. Recently, Baltimore averaged 0.73 goals scored and 0.62 conceded. Triomphe Liancourt averaged 0.72 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Baltimore won 5, Triomphe Liancourt won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 4, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Baltimore and 0.56 for Triomphe Liancourt. This points to a Baltimore double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Baltimore
25%
Draws
27%
Triomphe Liancourt
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Baltimore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Baltimore picked up more points recently compared to Triomphe Liancourt.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 0.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 12%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Baltimore Clean Sheet 30%
Triomphe Liancourt Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 39%
Second Half Goal 41%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltimore Triomphe Liancourt
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 10
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 0.73 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.62 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Championnat National
Triomphe Liancourt vs Baltimore
0:1
Apr 20, 2025 Championnat National
Baltimore vs Triomphe Liancourt
2:1
Apr 9, 2025 Championnat National
Triomphe Liancourt vs Baltimore
0:1
Mar 27, 2025 Championnat National
Baltimore vs Triomphe Liancourt
1:0
Apr 6, 2024 Championnat National
Triomphe Liancourt vs Baltimore
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltimore 49 / 100
Triomphe Liancourt 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltimore Triomphe Liancourt

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Baltimore or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +42.8%
7.14
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Baltimore attacking → ← attacking Triomphe Liancourt

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baltimore scored in 58% of their last 26 games.

Triomphe Liancourt let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Baltimore went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Triomphe Liancourt lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 31
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1AS Capoise63216:311
2Fica62315:49
3Real Hope62224:48
4Ouanaminthe61143:74
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Baltimore85308:218
2Tempete82519:711
3Triomphe Liancourt80265:132
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Violette862017:320
2Don Bosco82337:79
3Racing Haitien81162:164
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1America des Cayes83416:513
2Juventus83328:812
3Cavaly81348:96