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Baltyk Koszalin vs Pomorzanin Torun

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baltyk Koszalin play Pomorzanin Torun in the III Liga - Group II 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Baltyk Koszalin averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Pomorzanin Torun averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Baltyk Koszalin won 1, Pomorzanin Torun won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 3, 2021 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Baltyk Koszalin and 1.56 for Pomorzanin Torun. This points to a Pomorzanin Torun double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Baltyk Koszalin
22%
Draws
39%
Pomorzanin Torun
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Pomorzanin Torun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Baltyk Koszalin picked up more points recently compared to Pomorzanin Torun.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Baltyk Koszalin Clean Sheet 15%
Pomorzanin Torun Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltyk Koszalin Pomorzanin Torun
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.37 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Pomorzanin Torun
4:3
Mar 27, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Pomorzanin Torun vs Baltyk Koszalin
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baltyk Koszalin Compare

Top Goalscorer Gruchala-Wesierski D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Forczmanski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Pomorzanin Torun Compare

Top Goalscorer Babinski W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zbiranek M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltyk Koszalin 38 / 100
Pomorzanin Torun 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltyk Koszalin Pomorzanin Torun

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pomorzanin Torun or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Baltyk Koszalin attacking → ← attacking Pomorzanin Torun

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baltyk Koszalin scored in 80% of their last 35 games.

Pomorzanin Torun let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Baltyk Koszalin went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Pomorzanin Torun lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 38
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00