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Bandeirante vs Guariba

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2011 game between Bandeirante and Guariba finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bandeirante.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Bandeirante
15%
Draws
48%
Guariba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guariba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guariba come out ahead of Bandeirante on wins alone.
  • Bandeirante are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bandeirante Clean Sheet 20%
Guariba Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bandeirante Guariba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2011 Paulista A4
Bandeirante vs Guariba
2:0
Aug 14, 2011 Paulista A4
Guariba vs Bandeirante
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bandeirante 42 / 100
Guariba 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bandeirante Guariba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guariba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Bandeirante's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bandeirante went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bandeirante VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bandeirante

(Home)
04 Sept
Bandeirante
3 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
29 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
3 : 0
Bandeirante
22 Aug
Linense
2 : 0
Bandeirante
14 Aug
Bandeirante
1 : 0
Gremio Prudente
11 Aug
Marilia
1 : 1
Bandeirante
Page 1 of 6

Guariba

(Away)
21 Sept
Guariba
2 : 1
Paulinia
17 Sept
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0
Guariba
13 Sept
Gremio Prudente
3 : 4
Guariba
07 Sept
Guariba
4 : 3
Gremio Prudente
03 Sept
Guariba
0 : 1
Portuguesa Santista
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capivariano 6 5 1 0 13:4 16
2 Guacuano 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
3 Bandeirante 6 2 0 4 6:12 6
4 Guariba 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barretos EC 6 4 0 2 8:3 12
2 ECUS SP 6 4 0 2 7:5 12
3 Palmeirinha SP 6 2 0 4 5:6 6
4 Cotia 6 2 0 4 7:13 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 6 2 4 0 11:5 10
2 FC Primeira Camisa 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
3 Guaruja 6 2 1 3 9:14 7
4 Sumare 6 0 4 2 6:9 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportivo 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
2 Jacarei (Inactive) 6 3 1 2 14:11 10
3 EC Sao Bernardo 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
4 Tupa 6 2 1 3 8:10 7
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fernandopolis 6 4 2 0 11:1 14
2 Olimpia FC 6 2 3 1 6:6 9
3 Sao Vicente 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Guarulhos 6 0 2 4 4:13 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Votuporanguense 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
3 Brasilis 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Ole Brasil 6 1 1 4 5:12 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)