Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A3

Bandeirante

1 - 2

Portuguesa Santista

Our Tip

Match Events

Gabriel Henrique

15'

Alemao

Own Goal

65'

Flavio Souza

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portuguesa Santista in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portuguesa Santista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Bandeirante

40%

Draws

29%

Portuguesa Santista

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Portuguesa Santista have won more games recently than Bandeirante.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Paulista A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Portuguesa Santista have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%

Bandeirante Clean Sheet 17%

Portuguesa Santista Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bandeirante	Portuguesa Santista
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	7	17
Draws	10	7
Losses	12	6
Goals Scored	1.13	1.75
Goals Conceded	1	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Paulista A3

Bandeirante vs Portuguesa Santista

Possession: 57% - 47% Cards: 0 - 1

1:2

Mar 17, 2010 Paulista A3

Portuguesa Santista vs Bandeirante

Possession: 57% - 56% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Jan 23, 2008 Paulista A2

Bandeirante vs Portuguesa Santista

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Mar 25, 2007 Paulista A2

Bandeirante vs Portuguesa Santista

Possession: 41% - 46% Cards: 4 - 3

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bandeirante Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Portuguesa Santista Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Henrique

1 Goals

Assists Leader Flavio Souza

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bandeirante 31 / 100

Portuguesa Santista 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bandeirante Portuguesa Santista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Bandeirante went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bandeirante's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Portuguesa Santista's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bandeirante VS Portuguesa Santista

1.13 Goals Scored 1.75

1 Goals Conceded 0.5

63% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portuguesa Santista	15	12	0	3	26:9	36
2	Marilia	15	9	5	1	23:6	32
3	Rio Preto EC	15	8	5	2	24:13	29
4	XV de Jau	15	8	3	4	16:11	27
5	Rio Claro	15	7	4	4	19:16	25
6	Uniao Barbarense	15	6	6	3	16:14	24
7	EC Sao Bernardo	15	6	5	4	22:15	23
8	Paulista	15	6	5	4	20:13	23
9	Uniao Sao Joao	15	6	4	5	16:15	22
10	Catanduva FC	15	5	6	4	16:15	21
11	Bandeirante	15	4	6	5	15:19	18
12	Rio Branco SP	15	4	4	7	13:24	16
13	Francana	15	3	1	11	13:22	10
14	Itapirense	15	2	3	10	14:26	9
15	Desportivo	15	1	5	9	8:25	8
16	Uniao Suzano	15	1	2	12	10:28	5