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Stadium Background

Banfield vs Newells Old Boys

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Florencio Sola, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Nunez W.
21'
Gomez L.
30'
Villegas L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Profesional game between Banfield and Newells Old Boys finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Banfield.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Banfield
30%
Draws
34%
Newells Old Boys
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Banfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Banfield carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Banfield are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Banfield have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Banfield Clean Sheet 20%
Newells Old Boys Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Banfield Newells Old Boys
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Liga Profesional
Banfield vs Newells Old Boys
3:0
Jul 20, 2025 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Banfield
1:2
Jan 27, 2025 Liga Profesional
Banfield vs Newells Old Boys
3:0
Jun 4, 2024 Liga Profesional
Banfield vs Newells Old Boys
2:0
Feb 19, 2023 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Banfield
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Banfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Perrotta T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mendez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Newells Old Boys Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Banfield 36 / 100
Newells Old Boys 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Banfield Newells Old Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Newells Old Boys conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Banfield's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Banfield stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Banfield VS Newells Old Boys
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Banfield

(Home)
25 Jul
Huracan
1 : 0
Banfield
09 May
Banfield
2 : 1
San Martin T.
02 May
Barracas Central
1 : 2
Banfield
26 Apr
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 1
Banfield
20 Apr
Banfield
0 : 0
Ind. Rivadavia
Page 1 of 6

Newells Old Boys

(Away)
25 Jul
Newells Old Boys
1 : 0
Talleres Cordoba
04 May
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys
26 Apr
Newells Old Boys
1 : 1
Instituto
17 Apr
Union de Santa Fe
2 : 3
Newells Old Boys
12 Apr
Newells Old Boys
0 : 0
San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.1694319:731
2Boca Juniors1686222:930
3Velez Sarsfield1677218:1228
4Talleres Cordoba1675417:1326
5Independiente1666424:2024
6Lanus1666418:1524
7San Lorenzo1657414:1422
8Union de Santa Fe1656524:2021
9Instituto1663717:1721
10Defensa y Justicia1647518:2119
11Gimnasia Mendoza1654714:2219
12Platense1637610:1516
13Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)1644811:2116
14Newells Old Boys1636715:2715
15Deportivo Riestra161875:1211
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Rivadavia16104229:1534
2River Plate1692522:1229
3Argentinos Jrs1685317:1329
4Rosario Central1684420:1628
5CA Belgrano de Cordoba1675417:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.1682619:1926
7Huracan1657417:1322
8Racing Club1656517:1521
9Barracas Central1656515:1521
10Tigre1648418:1520
11Sarmiento Junin1661913:2019
12Banfield1653817:1918
13Atl. Tucuman1635815:2014
14Aldosivi160886:198
15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1612135:245
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)