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Bangkok FC vs Chainat Hornbill

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 Chalerm Phrakiat Bang Mod Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Bangkok FC play Chainat Hornbill in the Thai League 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bangkok FC averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Chainat Hornbill averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, Bangkok FC won 1, Chainat Hornbill won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 22, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Bangkok FC and 1.00 for Chainat Hornbill. This points to a Bangkok FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bangkok FC
35%
Draws
32%
Chainat Hornbill
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bangkok FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Bangkok FC picked up more points recently compared to Chainat Hornbill.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Bangkok FC Clean Sheet 23%
Chainat Hornbill Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangkok FC Chainat Hornbill
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Thai League 2
Bangkok FC vs Chainat Hornbill
1:1
Oct 24, 2025 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Bangkok FC
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Thai League 2
Bangkok FC vs Chainat Hornbill
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Bangkok FC
1:1
Jun 24, 2017 Thai League 2
Bangkok FC vs Chainat Hornbill
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangkok FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Deyvison
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Chainat Hornbill Compare

Top Goalscorer Amarildo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangkok FC 34 / 100
Chainat Hornbill 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangkok FC Chainat Hornbill

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bangkok FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bangkok FC attacking → ← attacking Chainat Hornbill

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangkok FC scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Chainat Hornbill let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Bangkok FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Chainat Hornbill lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 35
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rasisalai United342011364:3571
2Sisaket United341612649:3160
3Pattani341610849:4558
4Nong Bua Pitchaya341661259:5954
5Police Tero341581150:4453
6Chainat Hornbill3412101250:4646
7Khonkaen United3411121160:5245
8Mahasarakham341291347:4245
9Trat FC341281449:5344
10Chiangmai United341411955:5843
11Phrae United3410131140:5043
12Pattaya United3410121245:4242
13Songkhla341181537:4641
14Chanthaburi3410101444:4640
15Nakhon Pathom341091529:3739
16Kasetsart349111446:4938
17Nakhon Si United348121432:5436
18Bangkok FC34981740:5635
19Lampang F.C.00000:00