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Bangor 1876 vs Porthmadog Prediction & H2H Stats

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Club Friendly 2024
Tue, Jul 9, 2024
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bangor 1876 host Porthmadog in the Club Friendly 2024. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Bangor 1876 at 1.96 goals for, 2.04 against; Porthmadog at 1.56 for, 1.93 against. Head-to-head, Bangor 1876 have won 2 to Porthmadog's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 9, 2024, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.88) point toward Bangor 1876. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bangor 1876
20%
Draws
40%
Porthmadog
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Bangor 1876 at 1.96 per game, Porthmadog at 1.56.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Bangor 1876 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Bangor 1876 Clean Sheet 10%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangor 1876 Porthmadog
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 11
Draws 1 4
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.96 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Bangor 1876 vs Porthmadog
0:0
Jan 1, 2024 Cymru North
Bangor 1876 vs Porthmadog
4:1
Dec 26, 2023 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Bangor 1876
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangor 1876 30 / 100
Porthmadog 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangor 1876 Porthmadog

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porthmadog Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangor 1876 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Porthmadog conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Bangor 1876 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bangor 1876 VS Porthmadog
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangor 1876

(Home)
25 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 6
Buckley
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5
Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 2
Rhyl
31 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1
Bangor 1876
28 Aug
Bangor 1876
2 : 1
Brickfield Rangers
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Porthmadog

(Away)
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1
Porthmadog
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0
Ruthin Town
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
28 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 3
Caersws FC
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