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Barakaldo vs Osasuna B

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo
Our Tip

Match Events

48'
Jimenez A.
61'
Sub
Jimenez I. In: Huidobro J.
Out: Jimenez I.
61'
Sub
Molina E. In: Naveira U.
Out: Molina E.

AI Match Summary

Barakaldo in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barakaldo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Barakaldo
15%
Draws
64%
Osasuna B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Osasuna B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Barakaldo have won more games recently than Osasuna B.
  • Win probability leans Osasuna B's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Barakaldo Clean Sheet 23%
Osasuna B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barakaldo Osasuna B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.34 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Osasuna B
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Osasuna B vs Barakaldo
2:0
Jul 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Barakaldo vs Osasuna B
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Osasuna B vs Barakaldo
2:1
Dec 22, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Osasuna B
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barakaldo Compare

Top Goalscorer de Leon J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Osasuna B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barakaldo 16 / 100
Osasuna B 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barakaldo Osasuna B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Osasuna B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Barakaldo scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Osasuna B conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Barakaldo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barakaldo VS Osasuna B
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barakaldo

(Home)
19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0
Barakaldo
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0
CD Extremadura
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1
Barakaldo
30 Aug
Barakaldo
0 : 0
Leonesa
14 Aug
Portugalete
2 : 0
Barakaldo
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Osasuna B

(Away)
20 Sept
Osasuna B
1 : 0
Ebro
13 Sept
Osasuna B
4 : 1
Arnedo
06 Sept
Reus FC Reddis
0 : 1
Osasuna B
22 Aug
Huarte
0 : 1
Osasuna B
12 Aug
Real Union
3 : 0
Osasuna B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife 38 22 10 6 62:24 76
2 Celta Vigo B 38 18 11 9 61:48 65
3 Zamora 38 17 10 11 53:42 61
4 Ponferradina 38 17 9 12 43:33 60
5 Real Madrid B 38 16 10 12 61:52 58
6 Pontevedra 38 14 16 8 49:31 58
7 Barakaldo 38 15 13 10 51:38 58
8 Unionistas de Salamanca 38 15 11 12 53:49 56
9 Lugo 38 13 14 11 36:40 53
10 AD Merida 38 14 10 14 47:53 52
11 Arenas Getxo 38 15 7 16 46:55 52
12 Racing Club Ferrol 38 13 10 15 41:47 49
13 Ath Bilbao B 38 13 10 15 38:46 49
14 Real Aviles 38 11 11 16 55:67 44
15 Cacereno 38 10 14 14 42:49 44
16 CF Talavera 38 11 10 17 38:47 43
17 Ourense CF 38 10 13 15 44:47 43
18 Guadalajara 38 10 11 17 44:58 41
19 Osasuna B 38 10 10 18 28:42 40
20 Arenteiro 38 6 10 22 29:53 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)