Sport Picks
Barakaldo vs Real Madrid B
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo 
Match Events
33'
33'
Fati L.
68'
68'
Arana M.
70'
70'
Palacios C.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Barakaldo and Real Madrid B finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barakaldo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Madrid B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Barakaldo carry the better recent record into this one.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Real Madrid B taking it.
- Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Barakaldo Clean Sheet 24%
Real Madrid B Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Barakaldo | Real Madrid B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 27, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Real Madrid B
2:1
Nov 29, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Madrid B vs Barakaldo
2:1
Mar 25, 2017 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Real Madrid B vs Barakaldo
2:1
Nov 2, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Barakaldo vs Real Madrid B
1:1
Apr 9, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Barakaldo vs Real Madrid B
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Barakaldo Compare
Top Goalscorer Galarza A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sabin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Real Madrid B Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Barakaldo 29 / 100
Real Madrid B 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Barakaldo Real Madrid B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Real Madrid B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Barakaldo scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Real Madrid B has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Barakaldo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Barakaldo VS Real Madrid B
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Barakaldo
(Home) 19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0 Barakaldo
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0 CD Extremadura
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1 Barakaldo
30 Aug
Barakaldo
0 : 0 Leonesa
14 Aug
Portugalete
2 : 0 Barakaldo
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0 CD Extremadura
30 Aug
Barakaldo
0 : 0 Leonesa
12 Aug
Barakaldo
3 : 1 Ath Bilbao B
01 Aug
Barakaldo
2 : 0 Mirandes
23 May
Barakaldo
1 : 1 Celta Vigo B
Page 1 of 3
Real Madrid B
(Away) 12 Sept
Aguilas FC
1 : 0 Real Madrid B
05 Sept
Real Madrid B
2 : 0 Torremolinos
31 Aug
Teruel
0 : 0 Real Madrid B
20 Aug
Real Madrid B
0 : 1 Zamora
19 Aug
Ponferradina
2 : 2 Real Madrid B
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Aguilas FC
1 : 0 Real Madrid B
31 Aug
Teruel
0 : 0 Real Madrid B
19 Aug
Ponferradina
2 : 2 Real Madrid B
08 Aug
Racing Club Ferrol
2 : 2 Real Madrid B
05 Aug
Deportivo Fabril
0 : 1 Real Madrid B
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 62:24 | 76 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61:48 | 65 |
| 3 | Zamora | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 53:42 | 61 |
| 4 | Ponferradina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 43:33 | 60 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 61:52 | 58 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 49:31 | 58 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 51:38 | 58 |
| 8 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53:49 | 56 |
| 9 | Lugo | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36:40 | 53 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 47:53 | 52 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46:55 | 52 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41:47 | 49 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | 49 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 55:67 | 44 |
| 15 | Cacereno | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 42:49 | 44 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 38:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 44:47 | 43 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44:58 | 41 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 28:42 | 40 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 38 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 29:53 | 28 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
