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Barbados vs Bonaire

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Series Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, St. John's
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Oughterson J.
34' Event
Applewhaite A.
45' Event
Oughterson J.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Series game between Barbados and Bonaire finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barbados.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Barbados
15%
Draws
42%
Bonaire
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barbados

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bonaire come out ahead of Barbados on wins alone.
  • Model gives Barbados a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CONCACAF Series form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Barbados Clean Sheet 16%
Bonaire Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barbados Bonaire
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.36 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2025 CONCACAF Series
Barbados vs Bonaire
3:2
Sep 7, 2014 Caribbean Cup
Bonaire vs Barbados
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barbados Compare

Top Goalscorer Oughterson J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Applewhaite A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Bonaire Compare

Top Goalscorer Cicilia A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gerardo-Felicia N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barbados 36 / 100
Bonaire 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barbados Bonaire

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonaire let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Barbados's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Difficult form: Bonaire registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barbados VS Bonaire
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Barbados

(Home)
29 Mar
Barbados
2 : 3
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
26 Mar
Saint Martin
3 : 1
Barbados
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3
Aruba
12 Nov
Barbados
3 : 2
Bonaire
10 Jun
Saint Lucia
2 : 1
Barbados
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Bonaire

(Away)
06 Jun
British Virgin Islands
2 : 0
Bonaire
30 Mar
Bonaire
0 : 3
Saint Martin
27 Mar
Bonaire
3 : 1
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
15 Nov
Guyana
2 : 1
Bonaire
12 Nov
Barbados
3 : 2
Bonaire
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