Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Gomez D.
Assist: Watson T.
21'
21'
Gomez D.
Assist: Watson T.
33'
33'
Gomez D.
AI Match Summary
Brighton in this EFL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brighton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Brighton have won more games recently than Barnsley.
- Model gives Brighton a 57% chance of winning this.
- Brighton arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Brighton, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Barnsley Clean Sheet 10%
Brighton Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Barnsley | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 23, 2025 EFL Cup
Barnsley vs Brighton
0:6
Feb 18, 2017 Championship
Barnsley vs Brighton
0:2
Sep 24, 2016 Championship
Brighton vs Barnsley
2:0
Apr 5, 2014 Championship
Barnsley vs Brighton
0:0
Dec 3, 2013 Championship
Brighton vs Barnsley
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Barnsley Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Brighton Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomez D.
4 Goals Assists Leader Howell H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Barnsley 10 / 100
Brighton 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Barnsley Brighton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brighton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Barnsley scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Brighton conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.
Barnsley went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Barnsley VS Brighton
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Barnsley
(Home) 19 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 1 Leicester
15 Sept
Peterborough
4 : 3 Barnsley
12 Sept
Plymouth
3 : 0 Barnsley
05 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 5 Stevenage
02 Sept
Barnsley
2 : 1 Blackpool
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 1 Leicester
05 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 5 Stevenage
02 Sept
Barnsley
2 : 1 Blackpool
25 Aug
Barnsley
3 : 2 Crewe
15 Aug
Barnsley
0 : 1 Bromley
Page 1 of 3
Brighton
(Away) 19 Sept
Brighton
3 : 0 Arsenal
16 Sept
Manchester United
2 : 3 Brighton
13 Sept
Coventry
0 : 5 Brighton
05 Sept
Brighton
1 : 1 Leeds
30 Aug
Chelsea
4 : 3 Brighton
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Manchester United
2 : 3 Brighton
13 Sept
Coventry
0 : 5 Brighton
30 Aug
Chelsea
4 : 3 Brighton
20 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0 Brighton
17 May
Leeds
1 : 0 Brighton
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2
