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Stadium Background

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Brusque

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz, Itajaí
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Alemao E.
25' Event
Warley Jr
58'
Sub
Macario In: Alvaro
Out: Macario

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Barra FC (Santa Catarina) and Brusque finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
30%
Draws
34%
Brusque
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brusque come out ahead of Barra FC (Santa Catarina) on wins alone.
  • Model gives Barra FC (Santa Catarina) a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Brusque here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Clean Sheet 18%
Brusque Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Brusque
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Serie C
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Brusque
2:2
Jan 17, 2026 Catarinense
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Brusque
0:1
Feb 1, 2025 Catarinense
Brusque vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2:0
Jan 21, 2024 Catarinense
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Brusque
1:3
Mar 29, 2023 Catarinense
Brusque vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Compare

Top Goalscorer Warley Jr
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Barbosa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Brusque Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryan Santos
1 Goals
Assists Leader Clinton
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 36 / 100
Brusque 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Brusque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Brusque conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Brusque registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) VS Brusque
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

(Home)
12 Jul
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 2
Santa Cruz
04 Jul
Confianca
1 : 2
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
27 Jun
Floresta EC
2 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
21 Jun
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 1
Amazonas
15 Jun
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Page 1 of 6

Brusque

(Away)
13 Jul
Itabaiana
1 : 0
Brusque
06 Jul
Brusque
3 : 1
Figueirense
30 Jun
Botafogo PB
2 : 0
Brusque
21 Jun
Brusque
2 : 1
Floresta EC
14 Jun
Brusque
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Internacional de Limeira1474317:1425
2Brusque1473420:1524
3Santa Cruz1573515:1124
4Paysandu PA1472522:1923
5Guarani1465325:1423
6Ferroviaria1565415:1223
7Botafogo PB1471619:1522
8Maringa FC1464427:2422
9SER Caxias do Sul1456313:1021
10Floresta EC1455415:1420
11Figueirense1555513:1820
12Ituano1454516:1619
13Ypiranga FC1453617:1918
14Volta Redonda1553711:1918
15Maranhao1546511:1418
16Amazonas1452713:1917
17Itabaiana1545613:1817
18Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1436517:1615
19Anapolis1533913:1912
20Confianca153399:1512
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)