Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Santa Catarina

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz, Itajaí
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Bruninho
36'
Henrique Freitas
45' Event
Alemao E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Catarinense tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
28%
Draws
50%
Santa Catarina
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Santa Catarina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Santa Catarina have won more games recently than Barra FC (Santa Catarina).
  • Win probability leans Santa Catarina's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Santa Catarina arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Catarina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Santa Catarina
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Catarinense
Santa Catarina vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
0:1
Jan 31, 2026 Catarinense
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Santa Catarina
1:1
Jan 23, 2025 Catarinense
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Santa Catarina
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Compare

Top Goalscorer Alemao E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Santa Catarina Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruninho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 24 / 100
Santa Catarina 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Santa Catarina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Santa Catarina has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) VS Santa Catarina
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

(Home)
12 Jul
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 2
Santa Cruz
04 Jul
Confianca
1 : 2
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
27 Jun
Floresta EC
2 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
21 Jun
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 1
Amazonas
15 Jun
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Page 1 of 6

Santa Catarina

(Away)
27 Jun
Santa Catarina
1 : 2
EC Sao Jose (PA)
21 Jun
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Santa Catarina
07 Jun
Santa Catarina
1 : 0
FC Cascavel
31 May
Cianorte
1 : 3
Santa Catarina
23 May
Santa Catarina
1 : 0
Sao Luiz
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Concordia1
Brusque2
Criciuma1
Chapecoense-SC2
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)2
Santa Catarina1
Camboriu3
Avai2
Semi-finals
Brusque1
Chapecoense-SC3
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)4
Camboriu1
Final
Chapecoense-SC2
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)3