Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barra Mansa vs Buzios

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Caua
81' Event
Pedro J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Barra Mansa
30%
Draws
0%
Buzios
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barra Mansa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Buzios lately — more wins on the board than Barra Mansa.
  • Barra Mansa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Buzios arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Buzios, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Barra Mansa Clean Sheet 68%
Buzios Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra Mansa Buzios
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.96 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Carioca C
Barra Mansa vs Buzios
0:2
Jul 19, 2026 Carioca C
Buzios vs Barra Mansa
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barra Mansa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Buzios Compare

Top Goalscorer Caua
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra Mansa 95 / 100
Buzios 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra Mansa Buzios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barra Mansa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buzios's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Buzios's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Barra Mansa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barra Mansa VS Buzios
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barra Mansa

(Home)
20 Sept
Paduano EC
2 : 2
Barra Mansa
14 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 4
7 de Abril
06 Sept
Friburguense
0 : 0
Barra Mansa
31 Aug
Barra Mansa
2 : 2
Campos AA
23 Jul
Barra Mansa
0 : 2
Buzios
Page 1 of 6

Buzios

(Away)
20 Sept
Buzios
0 : 3
Serra Macaense
13 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
3 : 0
Buzios
06 Sept
Buzios
0 : 3
Cardoso Moreira
31 Aug
FC Rio de Janeiro
3 : 1
Buzios
26 Jul
Cardoso Moreira
2 : 1
Buzios
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Cardoso Moreira 1
Grande Rio Brescia Clube 0
Tigres Brasil 2
Campos AA 3
Rio Barra 1
Buzios 2
Barra Mansa 0
Uni Souza 0
Semi-finals
Cardoso Moreira 6
Campos AA 2
Buzios 5
Barra Mansa 0
Final
Cardoso Moreira 2
Buzios 1