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Stadium Background

Barra SE vs Guarany SE

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sergipano 2 2024 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Barra SE
15%
Draws
34%
Guarany SE
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barra SE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Barra SE average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Guarany SE's 1.1.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Barra SE Clean Sheet 10%
Guarany SE Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra SE Guarany SE
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Sergipano
Guarany SE vs Barra SE
1:0
Nov 16, 2024 Sergipano 2
Guarany SE vs Barra SE
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 Sergipano 2
Barra SE vs Guarany SE
2:2
Oct 26, 2024 Sergipano 2
Guarany SE vs Barra SE
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra SE 30 / 100
Guarany SE 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra SE Guarany SE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarany SE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guarany SE conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Barra SE's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Guarany SE's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Barra SE VS Guarany SE
1 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barra SE

(Home)
01 Mar
Itabaiana
4 : 2
Barra SE
22 Feb
Barra SE
0 : 2
Dorense
15 Feb
Confianca
8 : 1
Barra SE
09 Feb
Barra SE
1 : 0
America de Propria
03 Feb
Barra SE
3 : 2
Carmopolis
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Guarany SE

(Away)
13 Aug
Guarany SE
0 : 1
Desportiva Aracaju
08 Aug
America de Propria
2 : 3
Guarany SE
05 Aug
Lagarto
2 : 0
Guarany SE
01 Aug
Guarany SE
1 : 1
Atletico Gloriense
29 Jul
Falcon
3 : 0
Guarany SE
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Guarany SE 6
Atletico Central 2
Barra SE 2
America de Pedrinhas 1
Final
Guarany SE 4
Barra SE 3