Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barreda Balompie vs Guarnizo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Ocejo G.

AI Match Summary

Guarnizo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarnizo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Barreda Balompie
30%
Draws
23%
Guarnizo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barreda Balompie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Barreda Balompie haven't matched Guarnizo's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Barreda Balompie taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Barreda Balompie Clean Sheet 19%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barreda Balompie Guarnizo
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 8 18
Draws 9 11
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.58 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.84 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs Guarnizo
0:1
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Barreda Balompie
1:1
Feb 12, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Barreda Balompie
2:1
Oct 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs Guarnizo
1:1
Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs Guarnizo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barreda Balompie Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Guarnizo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ocejo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barreda Balompie 49 / 100
Guarnizo 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barreda Balompie Guarnizo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barreda Balompie Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Barreda Balompie scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Difficult form: Guarnizo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Guarnizo has conceded goals in 47% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guarnizo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Barreda Balompie

(Home)
10 May
Castro
2 : 2
Barreda Balompie
04 May
Barreda Balompie
1 : 0
CD Siete Villas
26 Apr
Atletico Albericia
2 : 1
Barreda Balompie
17 Apr
Barreda Balompie
0 : 1
Guarnizo
12 Apr
Vimenor
5 : 4
Barreda Balompie
Page 1 of 7

Guarnizo

(Away)
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1
Guarnizo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Guarnizo
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0
CD Tropezon
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Samano 34 20 10 4 52:22 70
2 CD Tropezon 34 20 7 7 58:30 67
3 Atletico Albericia 34 19 7 8 64:39 64
4 Cayon CD 34 19 5 10 61:41 62
5 Castro 34 16 11 7 45:26 59
6 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 63:42 57
7 Bezana 34 15 9 10 46:41 54
8 Torina 34 14 8 12 49:44 50
9 CD Barquereno 34 13 10 11 60:59 49
10 Guarnizo 34 11 15 8 44:37 48
11 CD Revilla 34 12 6 16 46:53 42
12 CD Colindres 34 9 9 16 36:53 36
13 Gama 34 9 9 16 34:56 36
14 Atletico Mineros 34 9 8 17 33:58 35
15 Barreda Balompie 34 8 10 16 49:65 34
16 Naval Reinosa 34 9 6 19 40:59 33
17 CD Siete Villas 34 7 7 20 29:53 28
18 CD Monte 34 5 5 24 33:64 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)