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Barreiros FC vs Belo Jardim

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2015
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Belo Jardim advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Barreiros FC
6%
Draws
90%
Belo Jardim
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Belo Jardim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Belo Jardim's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what Barreiros FC have produced (0.8).
  • Win probability leans Belo Jardim's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Belo Jardim, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Barreiros FC Clean Sheet 12%
Belo Jardim Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barreiros FC Belo Jardim
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.8 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.8 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.80 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2015 Pernambucano 2
Belo Jardim vs Barreiros FC
3:3
Nov 8, 2015 Pernambucano 2
Barreiros FC vs Belo Jardim
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barreiros FC 10 / 100
Belo Jardim 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barreiros FC Belo Jardim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Barreiros FC scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Belo Jardim's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

Solid form: Barreiros FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barreiros FC VS Belo Jardim
0.8 Goals Scored 1.63
1.8 Goals Conceded 1
80% Over 1.5 88%
40% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barreiros FC

(Home)
25 Nov
Ipojuca
5 : 0
Barreiros FC
11 Nov
Barreiros FC
1 : 1
Santa Fe PE
04 Nov
Aguia FC
0 : 1
Barreiros FC
28 Oct
Barreiros FC
1 : 2
Cabense
22 Oct
Serrano PE
1 : 1
Barreiros FC
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Belo Jardim

(Away)
19 Oct
Belo Jardim
4 : 0
Centro Limoeirense
08 Oct
Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Belo Jardim
05 Oct
Belo Jardim
0 : 2
America PE
27 Sept
Ipojuca
1 : 1
Belo Jardim
20 Sept
Centro Limoeirense
2 : 1
Belo Jardim
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Afogados da Ingazeira4
Academica Vitoria5
Barreiros FC3
Belo Jardim4
Final
Academica Vitoria0
Belo Jardim1