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Barrow vs Walsall

England England

League Two 2025/2026 Holker Street, Barrow in Furness
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Adomah A.
39'
Browne R.
45' Event
Hancock M.
Assist: Lakin C.

AI Match Summary

Walsall in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Walsall.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Barrow
6%
Draws
4%
Walsall
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Barrow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Barrow lately — more wins on the board than Walsall.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Barrow taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Barrow Clean Sheet 68%
Walsall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barrow Walsall
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 4 8
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 League Two
Barrow vs Walsall
1:3
Oct 18, 2025 League Two
Walsall vs Barrow
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 League Two
Barrow vs Walsall
2:0
Dec 14, 2024 League Two
Walsall vs Barrow
1:0
Mar 12, 2024 League Two
Walsall vs Barrow
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barrow Compare

Top Goalscorer Malcolm J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Walsall Compare

Top Goalscorer Hancock M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Adomah A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barrow 95 / 100
Walsall 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barrow Walsall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Walsall conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Barrow has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Barrow scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Barrow VS Walsall
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Barrow

(Home)
25 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0
Blackpool
21 Jul
Radcliffe
0 : 0
Barrow
18 Jul
Barrow
4 : 3
Mansfield
11 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0
Workington
04 Jul
Holker Old Boys
0 : 2
Barrow
Page 1 of 6

Walsall

(Away)
25 Jul
Telford
1 : 0
Walsall
21 Jul
Walsall
0 : 5
Aston Villa
11 Jul
Leamington
0 : 0
Walsall
02 May
Bromley
3 : 1
Walsall
25 Apr
Walsall
0 : 2
Harrogate
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bromley462415771:4687
2Milton Keynes Dons462414886:4586
3Cambridge Utd462216866:3382
4Salford462561561:5181
5Notts County462481474:5280
6Chesterfield462116971:5679
7Grimsby4622121274:5078
8Barnet4621131270:5376
9Swindon462291570:5975
10Oldham4618141460:4468
11Crewe4619101764:5867
12Colchester4618121662:4966
13Walsall4618111756:5665
14Bristol Rovers461952256:6562
15Fleetwood Town4615161557:5861
16Accrington4614112147:5853
17Gillingham4613141953:7253
18Cheltenham4614102253:7952
19Shrewsbury4613102342:6949
20Newport461272748:7743
21Tranmere4610112554:7941
22Crawley Town468162244:6840
23Harrogate461092739:6839
24Barrow46992845:7836
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)