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Barry Town vs Ely Rangers

Wales Wales

Division 1 2009/2010 Jenner Park, Barry
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AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2009/2010 game between Barry Town and Ely Rangers finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Barry Town
15%
Draws
32%
Ely Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barry Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barry Town come out ahead of Ely Rangers on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Barry Town's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Barry Town Clean Sheet 20%
Ely Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barry Town Ely Rangers
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 29 10
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 2.14 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.02 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 8, 2012 FAW Welsh Cup
Barry Town vs Ely Rangers
3:1
Mar 19, 2010 Division 1
Barry Town vs Ely Rangers
1:1
Nov 20, 2009 Division 1
Ely Rangers vs Barry Town
0:1
Sep 12, 2009 FAW Welsh Cup
Barry Town vs Ely Rangers
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barry Town 85 / 100
Ely Rangers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barry Town Ely Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barry Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barry Town's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 44 recent games.

Ely Rangers has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Barry Town went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barry Town VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Barry Town

(Home)
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2
Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Barry Town
4 : 1
Llandudno FC
05 Sept
TNS
1 : 0
Barry Town
31 Aug
Briton Ferry
1 : 4
Barry Town
28 Aug
Barry Town
4 : 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC
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Ely Rangers

(Away)
21 Sept
Llantwit Major
3 : 2
Ely Rangers
16 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 1
Ely Rangers
08 Dec
Barry Town
3 : 1
Ely Rangers
10 Nov
Ely Rangers
6 : 1
Aberbargoed Buds
06 Oct
Ely Rangers
3 : 1
Bryntirion Athletic
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