Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Onyeagwara O.
56'
56'
Jarvis D.
61'
61'
Jarvis D.
AI Match Summary
Barwell in this Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barwell.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stortford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Stortford have won more games recently than Barwell.
- Model gives Stortford a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Barwell Clean Sheet 20%
Stortford Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Barwell | Stortford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 20 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Barwell vs Stortford
3:1
Dec 13, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stortford vs Barwell
3:1
Mar 1, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Barwell vs Stortford
4:1
Nov 23, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Stortford vs Barwell
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Barwell Compare
Top Goalscorer Jarvis D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Hakeem Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Stortford Compare
Top Goalscorer Onyeagwara O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Barwell 10 / 100
Stortford 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Barwell Stortford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stortford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Barwell's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Stortford has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Barwell went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Barwell VS Stortford
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Barwell
(Home) 29 Aug
Loughborough Students
1 : 0 Barwell
04 Jul
Quorn
1 : 2 Barwell
25 Apr
Barwell
3 : 1 Stortford
18 Apr
Barwell
0 : 3 Bury Town
11 Apr
Needham Market
2 : 1 Barwell
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Barwell
3 : 1 Stortford
18 Apr
Barwell
0 : 3 Bury Town
06 Apr
Barwell
0 : 2 Spalding United
28 Mar
Barwell
2 : 5 Kettering
21 Mar
Barwell
2 : 4 Sudbury
Page 1 of 3
Stortford
(Away) 19 Sept
Stamford
0 : 3 Stortford
12 Sept
Stortford
3 : 1 Leamington
05 Sept
Stortford
2 : 3 Berkhamsted Town
31 Aug
Stortford
2 : 0 Hitchin
29 Aug
Bromsgrove
3 : 0 Stortford
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Stamford
0 : 3 Stortford
29 Aug
Bromsgrove
3 : 0 Stortford
15 Aug
Halesowen
1 : 0 Stortford
11 Aug
Leiston
3 : 1 Stortford
28 Jul
St Ives Town
3 : 2 Stortford
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harborough | 42 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 81:33 | 95 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 103:54 | 85 |
| 3 | Real Bedford | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 84:47 | 81 |
| 4 | Kettering | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 74:52 | 72 |
| 5 | Halesowen | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 85:60 | 70 |
| 6 | Needham Market | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 64:53 | 70 |
| 7 | Redditch | 42 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 67:58 | 70 |
| 8 | Quorn | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 78:71 | 65 |
| 9 | Worcester | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 64:44 | 63 |
| 10 | Leiston | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 65:58 | 63 |
| 11 | Stratford | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 61:54 | 61 |
| 12 | Banbury | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 51:56 | 60 |
| 13 | Bury Town | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 61:53 | 58 |
| 14 | Alvechurch | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:55 | 50 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 58:68 | 50 |
| 16 | Stortford | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 53:67 | 49 |
| 17 | Stamford | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 41:64 | 47 |
| 18 | Bromsgrove | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 52:73 | 44 |
| 19 | St Ives Town | 42 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 50:73 | 39 |
| 20 | Barwell | 42 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 52:85 | 35 |
| 21 | Royston Town | 42 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 35:82 | 25 |
| 22 | Sudbury | 42 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 47:115 | 25 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
