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Stadium Background

Basaksehir vs Boluspor

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Fayzullaev A.
23' Event
Opoku J.
Assist: Fayzullaev A.
45' Event
Usluoglu A.
Assist: Alpsoy H.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Basaksehir advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Basaksehir
22%
Draws
18%
Boluspor
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Basaksehir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Boluspor haven't matched Basaksehir's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Basaksehir taking it.
  • Basaksehir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Basaksehir, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Basaksehir here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Basaksehir Clean Sheet 68%
Boluspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basaksehir Boluspor
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 8 3
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 1 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2026 Turkish Cup
Basaksehir vs Boluspor
2:1
Jan 17, 2024 Turkish Cup
Basaksehir vs Boluspor
1:0
Apr 13, 2014 1. Lig
Basaksehir vs Boluspor
4:1
Dec 8, 2013 1. Lig
Boluspor vs Basaksehir
0:4
Jul 29, 2011 Club Friendly
Boluspor vs Basaksehir
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basaksehir Compare

Top Goalscorer Opoku J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Da Costa N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Boluspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Usluoglu A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basaksehir 68 / 100
Boluspor 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basaksehir Boluspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basaksehir's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Boluspor has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Basaksehir has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Basaksehir VS Boluspor
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.4
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Basaksehir

(Home)
22 Jul
Basaksehir
1 : 1
Inter Turku
16 Jul
Puskas Academy
0 : 2
Basaksehir
15 Jul
Salzburg
1 : 2
Basaksehir
10 Jul
Ried
2 : 1
Basaksehir
10 Jul
Ried
1 : 1
Basaksehir
Page 1 of 6

Boluspor

(Away)
01 May
Boluspor
3 : 1
Serik Spor
26 Apr
Pendikspor
2 : 0
Boluspor
19 Apr
Boluspor
6 : 0
Adanademirspor
13 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
2 : 0
Boluspor
09 Apr
Boluspor
1 : 2
Sivasspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray44008:312
2Trabzonspor430113:49
3Alanyaspor42118:47
4Basaksehir42028:76
5F. Karagumruk41215:65
6Boluspor40221:62
7Istanbulspor AS40222:92
8Fethiyespor40131:71
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Samsunspor440012:312
2Konyaspor44009:112
3Genclerbirligi43109:510
4Igdir FK41219:45
5Eyupspor41125:64
6Bodrumspor40133:71
7Aliaga40135:161
8Antalyaspor40040:100
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Besiktas431010:310
2Fenerbahce43019:39
3Erzurumspor FK42028:86
4Gaziantep42028:106
5Kocaelispor41124:44
6Rizespor41127:94
7Beyoglu Yeni Carsi41123:54
8Keciorengucu41036:133
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams