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Basconia vs Alfaro

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Conde A.
44' Event
Conde A.
47' Event
Alboniga-Menor G.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Basconia and Alfaro finished 6-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Basconia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Basconia
6%
Draws
4%
Alfaro
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Basconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Basconia come out ahead of Alfaro on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Basconia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Basconia Clean Sheet 68%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basconia Alfaro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 11 5
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 2.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Basconia vs Alfaro
6:4
Sep 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs Basconia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basconia Compare

Top Goalscorer Alboniga-Menor G.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Conde A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Alfaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Burusco I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Losantos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basconia 95 / 100
Alfaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basconia Alfaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Basconia stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Basconia scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Alfaro has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Basconia VS Alfaro
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Basconia

(Home)
03 May
Basconia
5 : 1
SD Ejea
26 Apr
Basconia
0 : 0
Gernika Club
18 Apr
Sestao
2 : 2
Basconia
12 Apr
Basconia
4 : 0
Mutilvera
05 Apr
SD Logrones
0 : 3
Basconia
Page 1 of 6

Alfaro

(Away)
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0
Alfaro
26 Apr
Alfaro
0 : 1
SD Logrones
19 Apr
Alfaro
2 : 1
Naxara
12 Apr
Tudelano
3 : 1
Alfaro
02 Apr
Alfaro
3 : 1
Zaragoza B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)