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Basconia vs Alfaro

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Conde A.
44' Event
Conde A.
47' Event
Alboniga-Menor G.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Basconia and Alfaro finished 6-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Basconia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Basconia
20%
Draws
40%
Alfaro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Basconia come out ahead of Alfaro on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Basconia's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Basconia Clean Sheet 68%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basconia Alfaro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 12 6
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.86 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Basconia vs Alfaro
6:4
Sep 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs Basconia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basconia Compare

Top Goalscorer Alboniga-Menor G.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Conde A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Alfaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Burusco I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Losantos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basconia 59 / 100
Alfaro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basconia Alfaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basconia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basconia found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Alfaro let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Difficult form: Alfaro registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basconia VS Alfaro
3 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Basconia

(Home)
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Basconia
29 Aug
Gernika Club
0 : 1
Basconia
22 Aug
Basconia
1 : 3
Valladolid Promesas
15 Aug
Rayo Cantabria
3 : 3
Basconia
08 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1
Basconia
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Alfaro

(Away)
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2
Alfaro
07 Aug
Alfaro
0 : 4
Tudelano
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0
Alfaro
26 Apr
Alfaro
0 : 1
SD Logrones
19 Apr
Alfaro
2 : 1
Naxara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)