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Basconia vs Ebro

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Charlez V.
(Penalty)
50' Event
Goni M.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Basconia and Ebro finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Basconia
6%
Draws
4%
Ebro
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Basconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Basconia's 2.13 goals per match outpaces what Ebro have produced (1.5).
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Basconia taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Basconia Clean Sheet 68%
Ebro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basconia Ebro
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 13
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Basconia vs Ebro
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Ebro vs Basconia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basconia Compare

Top Goalscorer Goni M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Ebro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basconia 95 / 100
Ebro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basconia Ebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ebro conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Basconia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Basconia scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Basconia VS Ebro
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Basconia

(Home)
03 May
Basconia
5 : 1
SD Ejea
26 Apr
Basconia
0 : 0
Gernika Club
18 Apr
Sestao
2 : 2
Basconia
12 Apr
Basconia
4 : 0
Mutilvera
05 Apr
SD Logrones
0 : 3
Basconia
Page 1 of 6

Ebro

(Away)
03 May
Ebro
0 : 3
UD Logrones
26 Apr
Utebo FC
1 : 0
Ebro
18 Apr
Eibar B
1 : 2
Ebro
11 Apr
Ebro
1 : 0
Beasain
03 Apr
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Ebro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)