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Basconia vs Urduliz FT

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Huestamendia P.
(Penalty)
12' Event
Belategi D.
21' Event
Conde A.

AI Match Summary

Basconia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 8-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Basconia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Basconia
20%
Draws
47%
Urduliz FT
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Urduliz FT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Basconia lately — more wins on the board than Urduliz FT.
  • Win probability leans Basconia's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Basconia Clean Sheet 20%
Urduliz FT Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basconia Urduliz FT
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 13 8
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.27 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Basconia vs Urduliz FT
8:0
Dec 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs Basconia
0:3
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Basconia vs Urduliz FT
2:0
Jan 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs Basconia
2:1
Feb 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs Basconia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basconia Compare

Top Goalscorer Goni M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Belategi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Urduliz FT Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basconia 42 / 100
Urduliz FT 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basconia Urduliz FT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Basconia scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Urduliz FT let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Basconia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basconia VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Basconia

(Home)
29 Aug
Gernika Club
0 : 1
Basconia
22 Aug
Basconia
1 : 3
Valladolid Promesas
15 Aug
Rayo Cantabria
3 : 3
Basconia
08 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1
Basconia
03 May
Basconia
5 : 1
SD Ejea
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Urduliz FT

(Away)
10 May
Urduliz FT
0 : 0
Beasain
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 2
Urduliz FT
27 Apr
Urduliz FT
2 : 0
San Ignacio
17 Apr
Basconia
8 : 0
Urduliz FT
12 Apr
Urduliz FT
3 : 1
Leioa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Basconia 34 23 7 4 89:32 76
2 Portugalete 34 19 13 2 66:29 70
3 Leioa 34 20 6 8 55:34 66
4 Beasain 34 19 7 8 53:34 64
5 SD Deusto 34 15 9 10 43:35 54
6 Alaves C 34 14 6 14 41:41 48
7 Touring KE 34 13 9 12 39:45 48
8 Derio 34 12 11 11 39:39 47
9 Eibar C 34 12 10 12 46:51 46
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 12 8 14 40:45 44
11 Lagun Onak 34 11 9 14 44:49 42
12 San Ignacio 34 11 9 14 32:41 42
13 SCD Durango 34 9 13 12 43:37 40
14 Pasaia 34 10 9 15 45:60 39
15 Santurtzi 34 8 14 12 46:43 38
16 Urduliz FT 34 9 9 16 37:56 36
17 Padura 34 7 8 19 31:48 29
18 San Viator 34 1 5 28 21:91 8
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 (Play Offs)