Sport Picks
Base Abaran vs Cartagena La Union
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 game between Base Abaran and Cartagena La Union finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cartagena La Union
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Base Abaran haven't matched Cartagena La Union's recent run of results.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Cartagena La Union taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Cartagena La Union have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Base Abaran Clean Sheet 16%
Cartagena La Union Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Base Abaran | Cartagena La Union |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 21 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 20 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.19 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.72 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs Base Abaran
2:1
Sep 26, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Base Abaran vs Cartagena La Union
1:3
May 9, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs Base Abaran
6:0
Jan 3, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Base Abaran vs Cartagena La Union
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Base Abaran 10 / 100
Cartagena La Union 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Base Abaran Cartagena La Union
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cartagena La Union Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.
Base Abaran scored in 61% of their last 31 games.
Cartagena La Union let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Base Abaran has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Base Abaran VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Base Abaran
(Home) 13 May
Aguilas FC
7 : 3 Base Abaran
06 May
Base Abaran
3 : 3 Ciudad Cieza
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 2 Base Abaran
22 Apr
Base Abaran
2 : 2 Club Edeco Fortuna
15 Apr
Plus Ultra
3 : 2 Base Abaran
Page 1 of 7
06 May
Base Abaran
3 : 3 Ciudad Cieza
22 Apr
Base Abaran
2 : 2 Club Edeco Fortuna
05 Apr
Base Abaran
3 : 4 Futbol Club Jumilla
25 Mar
Base Abaran
3 : 4 Yeclano
17 Mar
Base Abaran
3 : 1 Santomera
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Cartagena La Union
(Away) 29 May
Montanesa
1 : 0 Cartagena La Union
22 May
Cartagena La Union
1 : 1 Montanesa
15 May
Santomera
0 : 4 Cartagena La Union
08 May
Cartagena La Union
1 : 1 Pinatar
01 May
Cartagena FC UCAM
2 : 5 Cartagena La Union
Page 1 of 6
29 May
Montanesa
1 : 0 Cartagena La Union
15 May
Santomera
0 : 4 Cartagena La Union
01 May
Cartagena FC UCAM
2 : 5 Cartagena La Union
17 Apr
FC Puente Tocinos
2 : 2 Cartagena La Union
03 Apr
Real Murcia B
2 : 1 Cartagena La Union
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Futbol Club Jumilla | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 84:26 | 86 |
| 2 | Yeclano | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 93:38 | 84 |
| 3 | Lorca Deportiva | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 95:36 | 84 |
| 4 | UCAM Murcia | 38 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 82:38 | 83 |
| 5 | Cartagena La Union | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 84:40 | 81 |
| 6 | Pinatar | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 68:28 | 80 |
| 7 | Ciudad Cieza | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 81:33 | 80 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 61:56 | 52 |
| 9 | Plus Ultra | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 59:56 | 52 |
| 10 | Santomera | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 52:45 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Puente Tocinos | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48:57 | 48 |
| 12 | Club Edeco Fortuna | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 50:73 | 47 |
| 13 | Cartagena FC UCAM | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 59:55 | 43 |
| 14 | Beniel | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54:71 | 42 |
| 15 | Calasparra FC | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 44:70 | 36 |
| 16 | Base Abaran | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 26:81 | 31 |
| 17 | Bala Azul | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 47:76 | 30 |
| 18 | Mazarron FC | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 40:69 | 28 |
| 19 | CD Lumbreras | 38 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 28:127 | 18 |
| 20 | Jumilla CD | 38 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 31:111 | 14 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
