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Basel U19 vs Arsenal U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 Leichtathletik Stadion St. jakob, Basel
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Sub
Bola T. In: Dragomir V.
Out: Bola T.
57'
Nelson R.
64'
Sub
Heric K. In: Liechti M.
Out: Heric K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Basel U19
15%
Draws
42%
Arsenal U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Basel U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Basel U19 have won more games recently than Arsenal U19.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Basel U19 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Basel U19 Clean Sheet 19%
Arsenal U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basel U19 Arsenal U19
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.69 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2016 UEFA Youth League
Basel U19 vs Arsenal U19
1:1
Sep 28, 2016 UEFA Youth League
Arsenal U19 vs Basel U19
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basel U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Liechti M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Arsenal U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nketiah E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel U19 76 / 100
Arsenal U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basel U19 Arsenal U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basel U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Basel U19 scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Difficult form: Arsenal U19 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basel U19 VS Arsenal U19
1.71 Goals Scored 0.88
1.71 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Basel U19

(Home)
05 Nov
Betis U19
2 : 0
Basel U19
22 Oct
Basel U19
3 : 2
Betis U19
11 Dec
Rapid Vienna U19
3 : 0
Basel U19
26 Nov
Basel U19
1 : 2
Rapid Vienna U19
06 Nov
Sabah Baku U19
1 : 2
Basel U19
Page 1 of 6

Arsenal U19

(Away)
09 Sept
Napoli U19
1 : 2
Arsenal U19
10 Dec
Club Brugge U19
2 : 1
Arsenal U19
26 Nov
Arsenal U19
4 : 2
Bayern U19
04 Nov
Slavia Prague U19
5 : 1
Arsenal U19
21 Oct
Arsenal U19
3 : 4
Atl. Madrid U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG U19 6 4 2 0 21:7 14
2 Basel U19 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
3 Arsenal U19 6 1 4 1 8:6 7
4 Ludogorets U19 6 0 1 5 3:21 1
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Kyiv U19 6 5 1 0 16:7 16
2 Benfica U19 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 Napoli U19 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
4 Besiktas U19 6 0 3 3 6:12 3
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona U19 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
2 Manchester City U19 6 4 0 2 13:7 12
3 B. Monchengladbach U19 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Celtic U19 6 0 1 5 6:18 1
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV U19 6 4 1 1 16:2 13
2 Atl. Madrid U19 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 Bayern U19 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
4 FK Rostov U19 6 0 0 6 3:21 0
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Moscow U19 6 4 1 1 15:6 13
2 Monaco U19 6 4 0 2 10:14 12
3 Leverkusen U19 6 2 0 4 9:10 6
4 Tottenham U19 6 1 1 4 8:12 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Madrid U19 6 4 1 1 15:10 13
2 Dortmund U19 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
3 Sporting CP U19 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
4 Legia U19 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 6 4 0 2 12:8 12
2 FC Copenhagen U19 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
3 Club Brugge U19 6 3 1 2 8:9 10
4 Leicester U19 6 1 0 5 9:14 3
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sevilla U19 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
2 Juventus U19 6 3 0 3 8:5 9
3 Lyon U19 6 3 0 3 6:7 9
4 Din. Zagreb U19 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)