Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Palacio D.
42'
42'
Batalla A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Covadonga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Basico Urraca haven't matched Covadonga's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Covadonga's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Basico Urraca Clean Sheet 10%
Covadonga Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Basico Urraca | Covadonga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 38 |
| Wins | 3 | 25 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 2.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Covadonga
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs Basico Urraca
2:0
Mar 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs Basico Urraca
0:0
Oct 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Covadonga
1:0
Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Covadonga
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Basico Urraca Compare
Top Goalscorer Batalla A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Covadonga Compare
Top Goalscorer Palacio D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.21
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Basico Urraca 18 / 100
Covadonga 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Basico Urraca Covadonga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Covadonga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Basico Urraca scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Basico Urraca has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Covadonga let in goals in 50% of their last 38 matches.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
- VS Covadonga
0 Goals Scored 3.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Basico Urraca
(Home) 11 May
Basico Urraca
1 : 4 Praviano
04 May
Gijon B
1 : 1 Basico Urraca
26 Apr
CD Roces
0 : 2 Basico Urraca
17 Apr
Basico Urraca
1 : 1 Union Club Ceares
12 Apr
Lealtad
5 : 1 Basico Urraca
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Basico Urraca
1 : 4 Praviano
17 Apr
Basico Urraca
1 : 1 Union Club Ceares
06 Apr
Basico Urraca
0 : 0 CD Colunga
23 Mar
Basico Urraca
1 : 1 Covadonga
09 Mar
Basico Urraca
1 : 2 L Entregu CF
Page 1 of 3
Covadonga
(Away) 20 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0 Caudal Deportivo
13 Sept
Langreo
2 : 2 Covadonga
06 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0 Aviles Stadium
29 Aug
Gijon Industrial
0 : 0 Covadonga
05 Aug
Real Oviedo B
6 : 0 Covadonga
Page 1 of 8
13 Sept
Langreo
2 : 2 Covadonga
29 Aug
Gijon Industrial
0 : 0 Covadonga
05 Aug
Real Oviedo B
6 : 0 Covadonga
31 May
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1 Covadonga
17 May
CD Mosconia
0 : 0 Covadonga
Page 1 of 5
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Oviedo B | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 82:14 | 89 |
| 2 | Caudal Deportivo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 67:15 | 76 |
| 3 | Covadonga | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 59:17 | 73 |
| 4 | Gijon B | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 60:23 | 67 |
| 5 | Lealtad | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 56:31 | 58 |
| 6 | CD Mosconia | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 45:31 | 58 |
| 7 | L Entregu CF | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 44:44 | 51 |
| 8 | Praviano | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 32:36 | 44 |
| 9 | CD Colunga | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45:43 | 41 |
| 10 | Tuilla | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 31:41 | 40 |
| 11 | Aviles Stadium | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 28:63 | 38 |
| 12 | Union Club Ceares | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 36:44 | 38 |
| 13 | Real Titanico | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38:56 | 36 |
| 14 | EI San Martin | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 23:36 | 32 |
| 15 | Lenense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30:63 | 32 |
| 16 | Basico Urraca | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 35:56 | 27 |
| 17 | Condal | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 20:59 | 26 |
| 18 | CD Roces | 34 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 16:75 | 9 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
