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Basingstoke vs Sholing

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Rabbetts J.
20'
Wylie R.
56'
Taylor H.

AI Match Summary

Basingstoke in this Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Basingstoke.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Basingstoke
15%
Draws
45%
Sholing
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sholing

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / High Confidence
  • Basingstoke haven't matched Sholing's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sholing's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Basingstoke Clean Sheet 14%
Sholing Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basingstoke Sholing
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Sholing
1:0
Dec 27, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Sholing vs Basingstoke
1:4
Mar 15, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Sholing vs Basingstoke
2:2
Sep 21, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Sholing
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 FA Cup
Basingstoke vs Sholing
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basingstoke 23 / 100
Sholing 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basingstoke Sholing

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Basingstoke scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Sholing let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Basingstoke remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Basingstoke VS Sholing
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Basingstoke

(Home)
21 Jul
Basingstoke
2 : 6
Chesham
14 Jul
Slough Town
2 : 4
Basingstoke
25 Apr
Hanwell Town
2 : 1
Basingstoke
18 Apr
Basingstoke
3 : 1
Tiverton
11 Apr
Hungerford
1 : 3
Basingstoke
Page 1 of 6

Sholing

(Away)
25 Jul
Sholing
1 : 0
Folkestone
18 Jul
Sholing
3 : 2
Bognor Regis
11 Jul
Sholing
1 : 2
Woking
25 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 4
Sholing
18 Apr
Sholing
2 : 2
Wimborne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)