Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bataguassu vs Ivinhema

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-4. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bataguassu
30%
Draws
39%
Ivinhema
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ivinhema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Bataguassu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bataguassu are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Bataguassu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bataguassu, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Bataguassu Clean Sheet 13%
Ivinhema Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bataguassu Ivinhema
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.16 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Bataguassu
4:4
Mar 8, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Bataguassu vs Ivinhema
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Bataguassu
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bataguassu 57 / 100
Ivinhema 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bataguassu Ivinhema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bataguassu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bataguassu found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (25 games).

Ivinhema's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bataguassu stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bataguassu VS Ivinhema
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.38
83% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bataguassu

(Home)
02 Apr
Operario MS
2 : 1
Bataguassu
21 Mar
Bataguassu
1 : 3
Operario MS
18 Mar
Naviraiense
0 : 4
Bataguassu
15 Mar
Bataguassu
0 : 1
Naviraiense
11 Mar
Ivinhema
4 : 4
Bataguassu
Page 1 of 5

Ivinhema

(Away)
12 Jul
ASA
4 : 0
Ivinhema
06 Jul
Ivinhema
1 : 2
ASA
29 Jun
Democrata GV
1 : 1
Ivinhema
21 Jun
Ivinhema
3 : 1
Democrata GV
14 Jun
CRAC
1 : 1
Ivinhema
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Operario MS -
TBD -
Corumbaense 3
Dourados 1
Naviraiense -
TBD -
Ivinhema 5
Bataguassu 6
Semi-finals
Operario MS 4
Corumbaense 2
Naviraiense 1
Bataguassu 4
Final
Operario MS 5
Bataguassu 2