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Bataguassu vs Pantanal

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Sul-Matogrossense
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AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense game between Bataguassu and Pantanal finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bataguassu
30%
Draws
23%
Pantanal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bataguassu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bataguassu come out ahead of Pantanal on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bataguassu a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Bataguassu Clean Sheet 14%
Pantanal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bataguassu Pantanal
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.16 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Bataguassu vs Pantanal
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bataguassu 75 / 100
Pantanal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bataguassu Pantanal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bataguassu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bataguassu scored in 92% of their last 25 outings.

Pantanal let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Pantanal has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bataguassu VS Pantanal
1.63 Goals Scored 1.14
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.71
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Bataguassu

(Home)
02 Apr
Operario MS
2 : 1
Bataguassu
21 Mar
Bataguassu
1 : 3
Operario MS
18 Mar
Naviraiense
0 : 4
Bataguassu
15 Mar
Bataguassu
0 : 1
Naviraiense
11 Mar
Ivinhema
4 : 4
Bataguassu
Page 1 of 5

Pantanal

(Away)
01 Mar
Pantanal
2 : 2
Ivinhema
22 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
2 : 0
Pantanal
18 Feb
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Pantanal
11 Feb
Bataguassu
1 : 1
Pantanal
07 Feb
Pantanal
2 : 3
Naviraiense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naviraiense 9 5 3 1 13:9 18
2 Operario MS 9 4 5 0 14:5 17
3 Corumbaense 9 3 4 2 10:7 13
4 Ivinhema 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
5 Bataguassu 9 3 3 3 15:17 12
6 Dourados 9 2 4 3 15:14 10
7 Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
8 Pantanal 9 2 3 4 10:15 9
9 Costa Rica 9 1 5 3 6:10 8
10 Aguia Negra 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)