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Baumberg vs SSVg Velbert Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Wed, Jan 14, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baumberg host SSVg Velbert in the Club Friendly. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Baumberg have averaged 1.8 scored and 2.17 conceded recently, against SSVg Velbert's 1.68 scored and 1.96 conceded. Past meetings favor SSVg Velbert slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 14, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (2.38 - 2.44) back SSVg Velbert to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Baumberg
15%
Draws
54%
SSVg Velbert
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SSVg Velbert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Baumberg haven't matched SSVg Velbert's recent run of results.
  • Model gives SSVg Velbert a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Baumberg Clean Sheet 10%
SSVg Velbert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baumberg SSVg Velbert
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 2
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.8 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Baumberg vs SSVg Velbert
0:0
Jun 1, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
Baumberg vs SSVg Velbert
0:1
Dec 6, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
SSVg Velbert vs Baumberg
4:2
Mar 12, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
Baumberg vs SSVg Velbert
0:0
Sep 9, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
SSVg Velbert vs Baumberg
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baumberg 14 / 100
SSVg Velbert 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baumberg SSVg Velbert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SSVg Velbert Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Baumberg scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

SSVg Velbert's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Baumberg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baumberg VS SSVg Velbert
2.25 Goals Scored 2.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Baumberg

(Home)
02 Oct
Wuppertaler
4 : 0
Baumberg
27 Sept
Baumberg
1 : 2
Germania Ratingen
19 Sept
FC Monheim
1 : 2
Baumberg
13 Sept
Baumberg
4 : 4
Juchen-Garzweiler
06 Sept
Solingen-Wald
1 : 4
Baumberg
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SSVg Velbert

(Away)
02 Oct
Uerdingen
1 : 2
SSVg Velbert
27 Sept
SSVg Velbert
5 : 1
Dingden
20 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 3
SSVg Velbert
12 Sept
SSVg Velbert
2 : 1
Buderich
06 Sept
Sonsbeck
4 : 2
SSVg Velbert
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