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Bay FC W vs Boston Legacy W

USA USA

NWSL Women PayPal Park
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
St.Georges B.
46'
Sub
Ricketts C. In: Traore A.
Out: Ricketts C.
51' Event
Bailey D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Bay FC W
39%
Draws
31%
Boston Legacy W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Boston Legacy W lately — more wins on the board than Bay FC W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bay FC W Clean Sheet 18%
Boston Legacy W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bay FC W Boston Legacy W
Matches Played 29 19
Wins 6 7
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 NWSL Women
Boston Legacy W vs Bay FC W
2:2
May 16, 2026 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Boston Legacy W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bay FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bailey D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Boston Legacy W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bay FC W 31 / 100
Boston Legacy W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bay FC W Boston Legacy W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bay FC W found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Boston Legacy W let in goals in 79% of their last 19 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bay FC W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bay FC W VS Boston Legacy W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Washington Spirit W1593324:1230
2Gotham FC W1593319:1030
3San Diego Wave W1692523:1729
4Portland Thorns FC W1683525:1827
5Utah Royals W1583422:1627
6Kansas City Current W1581623:2225
7Angel City W1471622:1422
8North Carolina Courage W1463520:1921
9Orlando Pride W1662821:2120
10Denver Summit W1454521:1919
11Bay FC W1453616:1918
12Seattle Reign W1452715:1917
13Houston Dash W1544718:2416
14Boston Legacy W1644817:2316
15Chicago Stars W1540118:3012
16Racing Louisville W14221016:278