Sport Picks
Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W
USA
NWSL Women 2025 PayPal Park, San Jose, CA 
Match Events
3'
3'
Matsukubo M.
Assist: Sanchez A.
8'
8'
Matsukubo M.
Assist: Speck M.
24'
24'
Shepherd J.
AI Match Summary
North Carolina Courage W in this NWSL Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored North Carolina Courage W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
11%
80%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: North Carolina Courage W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to North Carolina Courage W lately — more wins on the board than Bay FC W.
- Win probability leans North Carolina Courage W's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Bay FC W Clean Sheet 13%
North Carolina Courage W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bay FC W | North Carolina Courage W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Bay FC W
1:3
Oct 18, 2025 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W
1:4
Apr 19, 2025 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Bay FC W
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W
1:0
Sep 13, 2024 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Bay FC W
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bay FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Hocking P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19
North Carolina Courage W Compare
Top Goalscorer Matsukubo M.
3 Goals Assists Leader Koyama S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bay FC W 11 / 100
North Carolina Courage W 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bay FC W North Carolina Courage W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bay FC W scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
North Carolina Courage W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Bay FC W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bay FC W VS North Carolina Courage W
0.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bay FC W
(Home) 11 Jul
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 Bay FC W
05 Jul
Boston Legacy W
2 : 2 Bay FC W
29 May
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1 Bay FC W
24 May
Bay FC W
0 : 1 Chicago Stars W
21 May
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 0 Bay FC W
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24 May
Bay FC W
0 : 1 Chicago Stars W
16 May
Bay FC W
1 : 1 Boston Legacy W
10 May
Bay FC W
0 : 0 Utah Royals W
05 Apr
Bay FC W
0 : 2 Washington Spirit W
22 Mar
Bay FC W
1 : 3 Angel City W
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North Carolina Courage W
(Away) 11 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
0 : 2 Washington Spirit W
04 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
3 : 1 Seattle Reign W
31 May
Angel City W
1 : 2 North Carolina Courage W
23 May
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2 North Carolina Courage W
16 May
North Carolina Courage W
4 : 0 Chicago Stars W
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31 May
Angel City W
1 : 2 North Carolina Courage W
23 May
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2 North Carolina Courage W
09 May
Orlando Pride W
1 : 0 North Carolina Courage W
29 Apr
Boston Legacy W
2 : 2 North Carolina Courage W
26 Apr
Houston Dash W
0 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kansas City Current W | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 49:13 | 65 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit W | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 42:33 | 44 |
| 3 | Portland Thorns FC W | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 36:29 | 40 |
| 4 | Orlando Pride W | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 40 |
| 5 | Seattle Reign W | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 32:29 | 39 |
| 6 | San Diego Wave W | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 41:34 | 37 |
| 7 | Racing Louisville W | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:38 | 37 |
| 8 | Gotham FC W | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35:25 | 36 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 37:39 | 35 |
| 10 | Houston Dash W | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | 30 |
| 11 | Angel City W | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31:41 | 27 |
| 12 | Utah Royals W | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 28:42 | 25 |
| 13 | Bay FC W | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26:41 | 20 |
| 14 | Chicago Stars W | 26 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 32:54 | 20 |
Promotion - NWSL Women 2025 (Play Offs)
