Sport Picks
Bayern Munich vs Heidenheim
Germany
Bundesliga 2025/2026 Allianz Arena, Munich 
Match Events
22'
22'
Zivzivadze B.
Assist: Busch M.
31'
31'
Dinkci E.
Assist: Busch M.
44'
44'
Goretzka L.
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Bayern Munich and Heidenheim finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Heidenheim
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Bayern Munich carry the better recent record into this one.
- Heidenheim are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Bayern Munich Clean Sheet 10%
Heidenheim Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bayern Munich | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 22 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 3 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.75 | 3.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 3.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs Heidenheim
3:3
Dec 21, 2025 Bundesliga
Heidenheim vs Bayern Munich
0:4
Apr 19, 2025 Bundesliga
Heidenheim vs Bayern Munich
0:4
Dec 7, 2024 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs Heidenheim
4:2
Apr 6, 2024 Bundesliga
Heidenheim vs Bayern Munich
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bayern Munich Compare
Top Goalscorer Goretzka L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Olise M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38
Heidenheim Compare
Top Goalscorer Zivzivadze B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Dinkci E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.53
Avg xA / game 2.16
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bayern Munich 10 / 100
Heidenheim 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bayern Munich Heidenheim
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HEI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bayern Munich scored in 100% of their last 29 games.
Heidenheim let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Bayern Munich went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bayern Munich VS Heidenheim
2.75 Goals Scored 3.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Bayern Munich
(Home) 25 Jul
Wehen
2 : 1 Bayern Munich
23 May
Bayern Munich
3 : 0 VfB Stuttgart
16 May
Bayern Munich
5 : 1 1. FC Koln
09 May
Wolfsburg
0 : 1 Bayern Munich
06 May
Bayern Munich
1 : 1 PSG
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Bayern Munich
3 : 0 VfB Stuttgart
16 May
Bayern Munich
5 : 1 1. FC Koln
06 May
Bayern Munich
1 : 1 PSG
02 May
Bayern Munich
3 : 3 Heidenheim
19 Apr
Bayern Munich
4 : 2 VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 3
Heidenheim
(Away) 25 Jul
Heidenheim
1 : 3 Hamburger
22 Jul
Bologna
1 : 1 Heidenheim
15 Jul
Nordlingen
0 : 9 Heidenheim
11 Jul
TSV Langenau
0 : 12 Heidenheim
10 Jul
Heidenheim
0 : 1 Lugano
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Bologna
1 : 1 Heidenheim
15 Jul
Nordlingen
0 : 9 Heidenheim
11 Jul
TSV Langenau
0 : 12 Heidenheim
04 Jul
Altach
1 : 2 Heidenheim
10 May
1. FC Koln
1 : 3 Heidenheim
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | 39 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | 26 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
