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BEA Mountain vs Watanga

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The LFA First Division game between BEA Mountain and Watanga finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Watanga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
BEA Mountain
20%
Draws
34%
Watanga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BEA Mountain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • BEA Mountain carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on BEA Mountain taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Watanga here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
BEA Mountain Clean Sheet 14%
Watanga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BEA Mountain Watanga
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 17
Draws 8 10
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 2.23 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 LFA First Division
Watanga vs BEA Mountain
4:2
Dec 2, 2025 LFA First Division
BEA Mountain vs Watanga
0:1
Jan 5, 2025 LFA First Division
Watanga vs BEA Mountain
3:2
Dec 8, 2024 LFA First Division
BEA Mountain vs Watanga
1:1
Mar 28, 2024 LFA First Division
Watanga vs BEA Mountain
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BEA Mountain 84 / 100
Watanga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BEA Mountain Watanga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEA Mountain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BEA Mountain's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: BEA Mountain stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Watanga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

BEA Mountain VS Watanga
3.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

BEA Mountain

(Home)
15 Aug
Discoveries
1 : 4
BEA Mountain
24 May
Discoveries
1 : 2
BEA Mountain
18 May
BEA Mountain
4 : 0
Borough FC
05 May
BEA Mountain
3 : 1
Liberia Registry
13 Apr
BEA Mountain
4 : 1
Downtown
Page 1 of 7

Watanga

(Away)
24 May
Heaven Eleven
3 : 3
Watanga
18 May
Watanga
3 : 1
Gardnersville
13 May
FC Fassell
0 : 0
Watanga
29 Apr
Discoveries
0 : 1
Watanga
12 Apr
Watanga
2 : 1
Borough FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)