Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Becerril vs Leonesa B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Oviedo A.
29' Event
Blanco M.
80' Event
Garcia Chico C.

AI Match Summary

Becerril in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Becerril.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Becerril
20%
Draws
40%
Leonesa B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Leonesa B have won more games recently than Becerril.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Becerril Clean Sheet 16%
Leonesa B Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Becerril Leonesa B
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Leonesa B
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Becerril
2:1
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Becerril
3:1
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Leonesa B
2:0
Feb 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Becerril
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Becerril Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanco M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia Chico C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Leonesa B Compare

Top Goalscorer Oviedo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Becerril 31 / 100
Leonesa B 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Becerril Leonesa B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Becerril scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Leonesa B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Becerril stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Becerril VS Leonesa B
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Becerril

(Home)
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0
Arandina
02 May
Bembibre
4 : 1
Becerril
26 Apr
Becerril
2 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
18 Apr
La Virgen
0 : 1
Becerril
12 Apr
Becerril
0 : 2
Mansilles
Page 1 of 6

Leonesa B

(Away)
14 Aug
Gijon B
3 : 0
Leonesa B
12 Aug
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1
Leonesa B
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1
Mansilles
02 May
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 2
Leonesa B
25 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 0
Numancia B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)