Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bednja Beletinec vs Zapresic

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Mamut I.
40' Event
Mamut I.
81' Event
Ajayi G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Zapresic advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bednja Beletinec
15%
Draws
34%
Zapresic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bednja Beletinec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Zapresic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bednja Beletinec are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Zapresic arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zapresic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Bednja Beletinec Clean Sheet 12%
Zapresic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bednja Beletinec Zapresic
Matches Played 13 20
Wins 6 9
Draws 0 6
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.31 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.54 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2018 Croatian Cup
Bednja Beletinec vs Zapresic
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bednja Beletinec Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Zapresic Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamut I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ajayi G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bednja Beletinec 47 / 100
Zapresic 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bednja Beletinec Zapresic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bednja Beletinec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bednja Beletinec scored in 62% of their last 13 games.

Zapresic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 20 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Zapresic has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bednja Beletinec VS Zapresic
2 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
33% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bednja Beletinec

(Home)
27 Aug
Bednja Beletinec
1 : 4
Karlovac
22 Oct
Bednja Beletinec
0 : 3
Rijeka
11 Sept
Bednja Beletinec
3 : 0
Belisce
28 Aug
Bednja Beletinec
2 : 1
Orijent
19 Oct
Bednja Beletinec
0 : 3
Rudes
Page 1 of 3

Zapresic

(Away)
16 Aug
Segesta
3 : 0
Zapresic
14 Feb
NK Brezice
2 : 2
Zapresic
19 Oct
NK Nedelisce
3 : 0
Zapresic
28 May
Zapresic
0 : 1
Solin
22 May
Dinamo Zagreb 2
0 : 2
Zapresic
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Din. Zagreb -
TBD -
NK Koprivnica 1
Sloga Mravince 3
GOSK Dubrovnik -
TBD -
TBD -
NK Zelina -
Marsonia 2
Karlovac 1
TBD -
NK Zagreb -
Kurilovec 3
Suhopolje 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Hajduk Split -
TBD -
Visnjevac 1
Vrapce 2
Nehaj Senj 4
Granicar Zupanja 1
TBD -
Sibenik -
Krk 3
Rudar Labin 0
TBD -
Cibalia -
Zagorec Krapina 9
NK Libertas Novska 0
TBD -
Osijek -
Zapresic -
TBD -
Pitomaca 0
Bednja Beletinec 2
Sloga Nova Gradiska 4
NK Nedelisce 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Jadran Luka Ploce 1
Bjelovar 0
TBD -
RNK Split -
Slavija Pleternica 1
Segesta 0
TBD -
Jaska Vinogradar -
Lok. Zagreb -
TBD -
Zagora 1
Primorac Biograd 3
Vukovar 1991 1
Bijelo Brdo 0
TBD -
Zadar -
Varazdin 3
Dragovoljac 0
Sava Strmec 0
Medjimurje 5
Radnik Krizevci 2
Rovinj 0
TBD -
Rijeka -
1/16-finals
Din. Zagreb 1
Sloga Mravince 0
GOSK Dubrovnik 0
NK Zelina 2
Marsonia 3
NK Zagreb 0
Kurilovec 0
Slaven Belupo 2
Hajduk Split 2
Vrapce 0
Nehaj Senj 2
Sibenik 3
Krk 1
Cibalia 0
Zagorec Krapina 0
Osijek 3
Zapresic 3
Bednja Beletinec 0
Sloga Nova Gradiska 2
Istra 1961 4
Jadran Luka Ploce 3
RNK Split 1
Slavija Pleternica 0
Jaska Vinogradar 4
Lok. Zagreb 1
Primorac Biograd 0
Vukovar 1991 3
Zadar 5
Varazdin 2
Medjimurje 0
Radnik Krizevci 0
Rijeka 9
1/8-finals
Din. Zagreb 4
NK Zelina 0
Marsonia 0
Slaven Belupo 1
Hajduk Split 2
Sibenik 1
Krk 1
Osijek 5
Zapresic 2
Istra 1961 1
Jadran Luka Ploce 2
Jaska Vinogradar 4
Lok. Zagreb 3
Zadar 1
Varazdin 1
Rijeka 2
Quarter-finals
Din. Zagreb 1
Slaven Belupo 0
Hajduk Split 1
Osijek 2
Zapresic 3
Jaska Vinogradar 0
Lok. Zagreb 1
Rijeka 2
Semi-finals
Din. Zagreb 2
Osijek 0
Zapresic 1
Rijeka 2
Final
Din. Zagreb 1
Rijeka 3