Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Beira Mar vs Lusitano FCV

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 Estádio Municipal de Aveiro, Aveiro
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beira Mar in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beira Mar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Beira Mar
6%
Draws
4%
Lusitano FCV
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Beira Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Beira Mar have won more games recently than Lusitano FCV.
  • Win probability leans Beira Mar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Beira Mar have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Beira Mar Clean Sheet 68%
Lusitano FCV Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beira Mar Lusitano FCV
Matches Played 31 26
Wins 13 5
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Beira Mar vs Lusitano FCV
2:1
Dec 20, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitano FCV vs Beira Mar
0:4
Sep 9, 2018 Taça de Portugal
Lusitano FCV vs Beira Mar
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beira Mar 95 / 100
Lusitano FCV 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beira Mar Lusitano FCV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beira Mar scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Lusitano FCV has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Away concern: Lusitano FCV has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Beira Mar VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Beira Mar

(Home)
18 Apr
CD Gouveia
1 : 2
Beira Mar
12 Apr
Beira Mar
4 : 0
Uniao Lamas
04 Apr
FC Alpendorada
0 : 1
Beira Mar
22 Mar
Beira Mar
1 : 1
Cinfaes
15 Mar
Florgrade
1 : 0
Beira Mar
Page 1 of 7

Lusitano FCV

(Away)
10 Sept
Lusitano FCV
0 : 2
Tocha
11 Sept
Lusitano FCV
0 : 3
Sanjoanense
10 Apr
SC Espinho
2 : 1
Lusitano FCV
03 Apr
Lusitano FCV
0 : 3
Castro Daire
14 Mar
Beira Mar
2 : 1
Lusitano FCV
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Anadia22135439:1544
2Canelas 201022125528:1341
3Lusitania FC22116538:2639
4Sao Joao de Ver22108430:1438
5Sanjoanense22812226:1336
6Castro Daire22105723:2435
7Valadares Gaia FC22103936:2733
8SC Espinho2294933:2231
9Beira Mar2294930:2331
10Agueda22451317:2817
11Lusitano FCV22441417:3416
12Vila Cortez2211208:864
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)