Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Beitar Jerusalem vs H. Beer Sheva

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Teddy Stadium, Jerusalem
Beitar Jerusalem Logo

Beitar Jerusalem

1 - 1
FT
H. Beer Sheva Logo

H. Beer Sheva

Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Sub
Lopes H. In: Baltaxa M.
Out: Lopes H.
23'
Sub
Antwi N. In: Elimelech R.
Out: Antwi N.
28'
Baltaxa M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 game between Beitar Jerusalem and H. Beer Sheva finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Beitar Jerusalem
20%
Draws
38%
H. Beer Sheva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Beitar Jerusalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • H. Beer Sheva carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Beitar Jerusalem Clean Sheet 10%
H. Beer Sheva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beitar Jerusalem H. Beer Sheva
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 17
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.83 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Beitar Jerusalem vs H. Beer Sheva
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
H. Beer Sheva vs Beitar Jerusalem
2:2
Feb 9, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
H. Beer Sheva vs Beitar Jerusalem
2:1
Nov 3, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Beitar Jerusalem vs H. Beer Sheva
0:1
May 29, 2025 State Cup
Beitar Jerusalem vs H. Beer Sheva
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beitar Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Shua Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

H. Beer Sheva Compare

Top Goalscorer Kangwa K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beitar Jerusalem 30 / 100
H. Beer Sheva 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beitar Jerusalem H. Beer Sheva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beitar Jerusalem found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: H. Beer Sheva conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Beitar Jerusalem went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beitar Jerusalem VS H. Beer Sheva
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Beitar Jerusalem

(Home)
19 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
2 : 1
Hapoel Haifa
15 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
3 : 1
Maccabi Petah Tikva
07 Sept
Sakhnin
0 : 1
Beitar Jerusalem
03 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Beitar Jerusalem
29 Aug
Beitar Jerusalem
1 : 4
Netanya
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H. Beer Sheva

(Away)
19 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 0
Shmona
16 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
0 : 0
Din. Zagreb
13 Sept
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0 : 2
H. Beer Sheva
07 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 4
Maccabi Tel Aviv
02 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
2 : 2
Hapoel Haifa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 H. Beer Sheva 36 24 7 5 79:38 79
2 Beitar Jerusalem 36 22 10 4 78:40 76
3 Maccabi Tel Aviv 36 19 9 8 72:46 66
4 Hapoel Tel Aviv 36 18 8 10 55:35 60
5 Maccabi Haifa 36 15 10 11 66:47 55
6 Hapoel Petah Tikva 36 9 13 14 48:57 40
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)