Sport Picks

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Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

Israel Israel

Liga Alef - Relegation 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Cohen D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Beitar Nordia Jerusalem advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
11%
Draws
9%
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have managed 0 goals a game lately — Beitar Nordia Jerusalem are scoring more at 1.25.
  • Model gives Beitar Nordia Jerusalem a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Beitar Nordia Jerusalem, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Clean Sheet 18%
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2021 Liga Alef - Relegation
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
1:0
Mar 16, 2019 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
4:1
Nov 9, 2018 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
2:0
Feb 11, 2018 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
1:1
Sep 26, 2017 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Cohen D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 76 / 100
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem scored in 80% of their last 25 games.

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

(Home)
26 Feb
Hapoel Azor
2 : 1
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
20 Feb
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1 : 2
Jerusalem FC
13 Feb
Tzeirei Tira
5 : 2
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
06 Feb
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
2 : 2
Ramat Hasharon
31 Jan
Kfar Saba 1928
2 : 1
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Page 1 of 5

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

(Away)
11 Nov
Agudat Sport Ashdod
1 : 0
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
09 Jan
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
0 : 5
Hapoel Ramat Gan
26 Dec
Beitar Kfar-Saba
0 : 4
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
29 Jun
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1 : 0
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
24 Apr
Hapoel Azor
5 : 3
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem0
Hapoel Bnei Lod1
TBD-
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda-
Ihud Bnei Shfaram-
TBD-
Ironi Tiberias0
Tzeirey Tayibe1
Final
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem1
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda0
Ihud Bnei Shfaram0
Ironi Tiberias3