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Belarus U17 vs Tajikistan U17

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Lutskovich A.

AI Match Summary

Belarus U17 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belarus U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Belarus U17
15%
Draws
46%
Tajikistan U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tajikistan U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Belarus U17 haven't matched Tajikistan U17's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Belarus U17 a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Belarus U17 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Belarus U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Tajikistan U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belarus U17 Tajikistan U17
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.32 2.66
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Friendly International
Belarus U17 vs Tajikistan U17
1:0
Feb 6, 2021 Friendly International
Belarus U17 vs Tajikistan U17
1:4
Jan 25, 2020 Friendly International
Belarus U17 vs Tajikistan U17
3:2
Jan 20, 2019 Friendly International
Belarus U17 vs Tajikistan U17
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belarus U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lutskovich A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Tajikistan U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belarus U17 47 / 100
Tajikistan U17 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belarus U17 Tajikistan U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belarus U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Belarus U17's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tajikistan U17 conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Belarus U17 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Belarus U17 VS Tajikistan U17
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Belarus U17

(Home)
31 Mar
Netherlands U17
2 : 1
Belarus U17
28 Mar
Belarus U17
1 : 0
Kosovo U17
14 Oct
Moldova U17
0 : 6
Belarus U17
11 Oct
Belgium U17
6 : 0
Belarus U17
08 Oct
Belarus U17
3 : 4
Norway U17
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Tajikistan U17

(Away)
15 May
Japan U17
5 : 0
Tajikistan U17
12 May
Saudi Arabia U17
5 : 5
Tajikistan U17
09 May
Myanmar U17
0 : 1
Tajikistan U17
05 May
Tajikistan U17
2 : 0
Thailand U17
11 Nov
Burkina Faso U17
2 : 0
Tajikistan U17
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