Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Belarus vs Bulgaria

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 ZTE Aréna, Zalaegerszeg
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Krastev F.
56'
Petkov A.
64'
Sub
Antilevskiy D. In: Kireev M.
Out: Antilevskiy D.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 game between Belarus and Bulgaria finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Belarus
30%
Draws
33%
Bulgaria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Belarus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Belarus come out ahead of Bulgaria on wins alone.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Belarus Clean Sheet 10%
Bulgaria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belarus Bulgaria
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.11 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Bulgaria vs Belarus
1:1
Sep 5, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Belarus vs Bulgaria
0:0
Feb 26, 2020 Friendly International
Bulgaria vs Belarus
0:1
Jun 9, 2017 World Championship
Belarus vs Bulgaria
2:1
Nov 13, 2016 World Championship
Bulgaria vs Belarus
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belarus 34 / 100
Bulgaria 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belarus Bulgaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bulgaria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belarus has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bulgaria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Belarus scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Belarus VS Bulgaria
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Belarus

(Home)
09 Jun
Belarus
2 : 2
Burkina Faso
05 Jun
Belarus
4 : 1
Syria
29 Mar
Armenia
1 : 2
Belarus
26 Mar
Cyprus
0 : 1
Belarus
18 Nov
Belarus
0 : 0
Greece
Page 1 of 6

Bulgaria

(Away)
05 Jun
Moldova
2 : 2
Bulgaria
01 Jun
Bulgaria
0 : 1
Montenegro
30 Mar
Indonesia
0 : 1
Bulgaria
27 Mar
Solomon Islands
2 : 10
Bulgaria
18 Nov
Bulgaria
2 : 1
Georgia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden 6 5 1 0 19:4 16
2 Slovakia 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
3 Estonia 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:17 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania 6 6 0 0 18:3 18
2 Kosovo 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
3 Cyprus 6 2 0 4 4:15 6
4 Lithuania 6 0 0 6 4:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
2 Bulgaria 6 2 3 1 3:6 9
3 Belarus 6 1 4 1 3:4 7
4 Luxembourg 6 0 3 3 3:7 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Macedonia 6 5 1 0 10:1 16
2 Armenia 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
3 Faroe Islands 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Latvia 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)