Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Belgium U21 vs Japan U21

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ramazani L.
Assist: Pletinckx E.
20' Event
Vertessen Y.
Assist: Ramazani L.
32'
Sub
Nakamura T. In: Uchino T.
Out: Nakamura T.

AI Match Summary

Belgium U21 in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belgium U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Belgium U21
6%
Draws
4%
Japan U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Belgium U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Belgium U21 lately — more wins on the board than Japan U21.
  • Belgium U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Belgium U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Japan U21 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgium U21 Japan U21
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 14 8
Draws 9 3
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2023 Friendly International
Belgium U21 vs Japan U21
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgium U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramazani L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vertessen Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Japan U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sato K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suzuki Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgium U21 95 / 100
Japan U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgium U21 Japan U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Belgium U21 found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Japan U21 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 22 outings.

Belgium U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belgium U21 VS Japan U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.8
75% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Belgium U21

(Home)
30 Mar
Netherlands U21
2 : 1
Belgium U21
27 Mar
Belgium U21
1 : 0
Austria U21
14 Nov
Austria U21
1 : 0
Belgium U21
14 Oct
Belgium U21
2 : 0
Denmark U21
10 Oct
Wales U21
0 : 7
Belgium U21
Page 1 of 7

Japan U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Japan U21
3 : 0
Ukraine U21
05 Jun
Uzbekistan U23
0 : 1
Japan U21
29 Mar
South Korea U23
2 : 1
Japan U21
27 Mar
Japan U21
0 : 2
USA U21
27 Mar
Belgium U21
3 : 2
Japan U21
Page 1 of 5