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Belgium U23 W vs Scotland U23 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Belgium U23 W play Scotland U23 W in the Friendly International Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Belgium U23 W averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Scotland U23 W averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Belgium U23 W won 1, Scotland U23 W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 27, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Belgium U23 W and 1.19 for Scotland U23 W. This points to a Scotland U23 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Belgium U23 W
18%
Draws
46%
Scotland U23 W
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Scotland U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Belgium U23 W picked up more points recently compared to Scotland U23 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Belgium U23 W Clean Sheet 20%
Scotland U23 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgium U23 W Scotland U23 W
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 5 5
Draws 6 2
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.83 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2025 Friendly International Women
Belgium U23 W vs Scotland U23 W
2:0
Oct 24, 2024 Friendly International Women
Belgium U23 W vs Scotland U23 W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgium U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ampoorter V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reynders A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Scotland U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hutchinson B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgium U23 W 36 / 100
Scotland U23 W 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgium U23 W Scotland U23 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Scotland U23 W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Belgium U23 W attacking → ← attacking Scotland U23 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belgium U23 W scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scotland U23 W let in goals in 93% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Belgium U23 W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Scotland U23 W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 17
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00