Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bella Vista vs Juventud

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2023 Estadio José Nasazzi, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Amaral U.
(Penalty)
33' Event
Amaral U.
51' Event
Sagardia F.

AI Match Summary

Juventud in this Segunda Division 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juventud.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Bella Vista
30%
Draws
47%
Juventud
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Juventud have won more games recently than Bella Vista.
  • Juventud are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Bella Vista Clean Sheet 19%
Juventud Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bella Vista Juventud
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 7 15
Draws 4 12
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2025 Copa Uruguay
Bella Vista vs Juventud
1:0
Dec 3, 2023 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Bella Vista
3:0
Jul 29, 2023 Segunda Division
Bella Vista vs Juventud
1:2
Mar 26, 2023 Segunda Division
Bella Vista vs Juventud
0:2
Mar 30, 2013 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Bella Vista vs Juventud
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bella Vista Compare

Top Goalscorer Sagardia F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Amaral U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bella Vista 10 / 100
Juventud 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bella Vista Juventud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventud Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Juventud conceded in 67% of 39 recent games.

Bella Vista found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Bella Vista has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Juventud
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bella Vista

(Home)
09 Sept
Bella Vista
1 : 2
Central Esp.
27 Aug
Bella Vista
1 : 0
Juventud
03 Dec
Juventud
3 : 0
Bella Vista
29 Nov
Bella Vista
1 : 1
Atenas
26 Nov
Rampla Juniors
2 : 0
Bella Vista
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Juventud

(Away)
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0
Racing Montevideo
13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1
Danubio
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2
Juventud
02 Sept
Central Esp.
3 : 0
Juventud
29 Aug
Juventud
2 : 0
Maldonado
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