Sport Picks
Bellaria Igea vs Imolese
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 Stadio Enrico Nanni, Bellaria 
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 game between Bellaria Igea and Imolese finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bellaria Igea.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Imolese carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Bellaria Igea a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bellaria Igea Clean Sheet 20%
Imolese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bellaria Igea | Imolese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 6, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Bellaria Igea vs Imolese
1:0
Oct 4, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Bellaria Igea
2:3
Mar 8, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Bellaria Igea
1:0
Oct 26, 2014 Serie D - Group D
Bellaria Igea vs Imolese
0:1
Mar 16, 2005 Lega Pro C2/B
Bellaria Igea vs Imolese
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bellaria Igea 36 / 100
Imolese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bellaria Igea Imolese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bellaria Igea scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Imolese has conceded goals in 72% of their last 36 outings.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Difficult form: Imolese registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Imolese
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bellaria Igea
(Home) 08 May
Bellaria Igea
3 : 1 Clodiense
01 May
Parma
3 : 0 Bellaria Igea
24 Apr
Bellaria Igea
0 : 0 Mezzolara
17 Apr
Altovicentino
2 : 0 Bellaria Igea
10 Apr
Bellaria Igea
1 : 2 Arzignano
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08 May
Bellaria Igea
3 : 1 Clodiense
24 Apr
Bellaria Igea
0 : 0 Mezzolara
10 Apr
Bellaria Igea
1 : 2 Arzignano
20 Mar
Bellaria Igea
2 : 2 Correggese
27 Feb
Bellaria Igea
1 : 0 Sammaurese
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Imolese
(Away) 10 May
Imolese
0 : 2 Sasso Marconi
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1 Imolese
19 Apr
Imolese
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
12 Apr
Tropical Coriano
2 : 0 Imolese
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26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1 Imolese
12 Apr
Tropical Coriano
2 : 0 Imolese
29 Mar
Pro Sesto
2 : 4 Imolese
15 Mar
Sant'Angelo
2 : 0 Imolese
22 Feb
Lentigione
4 : 0 Imolese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parma | 38 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 82:17 | 94 |
| 2 | Altovicentino | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 84:43 | 77 |
| 3 | Forli FC | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 69:46 | 69 |
| 4 | San Marino Calcio | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 55:41 | 65 |
| 5 | Correggese | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 66:49 | 64 |
| 6 | Imolese | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 63:41 | 63 |
| 7 | Delta Porto Tolle | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 68:51 | 61 |
| 8 | Ribelle | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 63:54 | 61 |
| 9 | Lentigione | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 53:51 | 59 |
| 10 | Sammaurese | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 53:49 | 54 |
| 11 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 60:54 | 53 |
| 12 | Legnago Salus | 38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 55:54 | 51 |
| 13 | Ravenna | 38 | 9 | 17 | 12 | 50:59 | 44 |
| 14 | Romagna Centro | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 40:51 | 44 |
| 15 | Virtus Castelfranco | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 50:59 | 42 |
| 16 | Mezzolara | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:55 | 35 |
| 17 | Villafranca | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 45:63 | 33 |
| 18 | Bellaria Igea | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 38:76 | 29 |
| 19 | Clodiense | 38 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 35:81 | 27 |
| 20 | Fortis Juventus | 38 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 32:97 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 (Play Out)
