Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Belper Town vs Market Drayton Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

FA Trophy 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Belper Town advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Belper Town
20%
Draws
32%
Market Drayton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belper Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Belper Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Belper Town taking it.
  • Belper Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Belper Town, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Belper Town Clean Sheet 20%
Market Drayton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belper Town Market Drayton
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 3
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.55 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2015 FA Trophy
Belper Town vs Market Drayton
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belper Town 40 / 100
Market Drayton 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belper Town Market Drayton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belper Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belper Town's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Market Drayton let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Market Drayton's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Belper Town VS Market Drayton
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Belper Town

(Home)
05 Sept
Belper Town
0 : 3
Evesham
29 Aug
Wellingborough
2 : 1
Belper Town
20 Sept
Rugby
3 : 2
Belper Town
06 Sept
Belper Town
2 : 1
Newcastle Town
26 Jul
Belper Town
1 : 4
Matlock
Page 1 of 6

Market Drayton

(Away)
05 Jul
Market Drayton
0 : 0
Telford
09 Oct
Market Drayton
0 : 7
Leek Town
05 Aug
Market Drayton
1 : 1
Newcastle Town
10 Jul
Market Drayton
0 : 1
Telford
26 Sept
Market Drayton
0 : 1
Bury Town
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Blyth Spartans -
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Scarborough Athletic 0
Kendal 4
Workington -
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Whitby -
Ashton United -
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Ramsbottom Utd -
Histon -
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Stratford -
Evesham 3
Chasetown 2
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Redditch -
Goole -
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Glossop North End 3
Spennymoor 4
Buxton -
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Frickley -
Witton Albion 4
Ossett Albion 2
Droylsden 1
Radcliffe 2
Skelmersdale -
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Hyde -
Stafford 3
Tividale 1
Leek Town 1
Lincoln Utd. 3
Sutton Coldfield Town -
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Daventry 2
Coalville Town 3
Mossley AFC 1
Harrogate Railway 0
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Darlington FC -
Nantwich -
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Salford -
Belper Town 1
Market Drayton 0
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King’s Lynn -
Shaw Lane 3
New Mills 0
Prescot Cables 0
Farsley 4
Gresley 2
Romulus 1
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Matlock -
Leamington -
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Barwell -
Mickleover -
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Rushall -
Warrington Town 2
Ossett Town 1
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Brighouse Town -
Grantham Town -
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AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Basford Utd. 3
Marine -
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Trafford 1
Sheffield FC 4
Newcastle Town 5
Spalding United 4
Loughborough Dynamo 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -
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Cambridge City -
Northwich Victoria 5
Lancaster 1
Clitheroe 1
Stocksbridge 2
Kettering -
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Rugby 2
St Ives Town 4
Colwyn Bay -
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Bamber Bridge 0
Burscough 2
Stourbridge -
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Halesowen -
Stamford -
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Soham 1
Carlton Town 3
Bideford -
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Farnborough -
Aylesbury Vale 3
Hythe 0
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Brentwood -
Neots -
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Bedworth United -
Hungerford -
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Yate 1
Banbury 3
Haringey Borough 2
Folkestone 1
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Dunstable Town -
Burgess Hill -
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Hitchin -
Thurrock 2
Guernsey FC 0
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Chatham -
Heybridge 2
Aylesbury United 1
Hanwell Town 1
Cheshunt 2
Phoenix Sports 1
Whyteleafe 0
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Tonbridge -
North Leigh 4
Bishops Cleeve 2
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Cirencester -
Enfield Town -
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Carshalton 0
Leighton Town 2
Ramsgate 3
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Brightlingsea 2
Thamesmead 5
Tilbury 5
Barkingside 0
Walton & Hersham 2
Tooting & Mitcham 3
Wingate & Finchley -
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Great Wakering 0
Royston Town 3
Leiston -
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Whitstable Town 2
Worthing FC 4
Redbridge 3
Arlesey 1
Three Bridges 1
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Bedford -
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Potters 1
Northwood 2
Winchester City 3
Petersfield 1
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Weymouth -
Swindon Supermarine -
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Paulton Rovers -
Billericay -
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Chesham -
Taunton Town 4
Godalming Town 1
Burnham FC 0
Dorking Wanderers 2
East Grinstead Town 3
Cray Wanderers 2
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Bognor Regis -
Molesey 5
Fleet Town 1
Bridgwater United 1
Didcot 3
Merstham -
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Ware 1
Harlow 3
East Thurrock Utd -
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Aveley 1
South Park 4
Peacehaven & Telscombe -
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AFC Totton 0
Tiverton 2
Waltham Abbey 2
Dereham 1
Beaconsfield Town 0
Chalfont St Peter 3
Biggleswade Town -
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Grays -
Dulwich Hamlet -
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Harrow Borough -
Staines -
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VCD Athletic -
Frome Town -
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Slimbridge 0
Egham Town 1
Romford 3
North Greenford Utd. 2
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Slough Town -
Lewes -
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Hampton & Richmond -
Hendon -
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Barton 4
Sudbury 5
Dorchester -
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Chippenham Town -
Leatherhead -
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Kingstonian -
Marlow 5
Wantage 2
Wimborne 1
Larkhall 3
Bashley 1
Cinderford Town 0
Shortwood 3
Mangotsfield 4
Canvey Island -
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Needham Market -
Hornchurch -
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Metropolitan Police -
Hastings 3
Wroxham 2
Uxbridge 1
Chipstead 2
Poole Town -
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Merthyr Town -
Bury Town 1
Faversham 0
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Kings Langley -
Herne Bay 4
FC Witham Town 2
Sittingbourne 0
Walton Casuals 1
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Semi-finals
Blyth Spartans 4
Kendal 0
Workington 0
Whitby 3
Ashton United 5
Ramsbottom Utd 4
Histon 1
Stratford 4
Evesham 1
Redditch 0
Goole 3
Spennymoor 6
Buxton 2
Frickley 1
Witton Albion 1
Radcliffe 2
Skelmersdale 4
Hyde 3
Stafford 2
Lincoln Utd. 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Coalville Town 0
Mossley AFC 2
Darlington FC 3
Nantwich 2
Salford 1
Belper Town 2
King’s Lynn 6
Shaw Lane 4
Farsley 3
Gresley 0
Matlock 2
Leamington 6
Barwell 1
Mickleover 0
Rushall 1
Warrington Town 2
Brighouse Town 0
Grantham Town 1
Basford Utd. 3
Marine 1
Sheffield FC 0
Newcastle Town 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 5
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Cambridge City 0
Northwich Victoria 1
Stocksbridge 2
Kettering 1
St Ives Town 0
Colwyn Bay 0
Burscough 1
Stourbridge 2
Halesowen 1
Stamford 1
Carlton Town 2
Bideford 4
Farnborough 3
Aylesbury Vale 1
Brentwood 3
Neots 2
Bedworth United 0
Hungerford 3
Banbury 0
Haringey Borough 3
Dunstable Town 1
Burgess Hill 2
Hitchin 3
Thurrock 3
Chatham 0
Heybridge 0
Cheshunt 2
Phoenix Sports 1
Tonbridge 3
North Leigh 1
Cirencester 2
Enfield Town 4
Leighton Town 0
Ramsgate 0
Thamesmead 1
Tilbury 2
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Wingate & Finchley 0
Royston Town 2
Leiston 3
Worthing FC 1
Redbridge 1
Corinthian-Casuals 4
Bedford 3
Northwood 1
Winchester City 1
Weymouth 2
Swindon Supermarine 3
Paulton Rovers 2
Billericay 0
Chesham 2
Taunton Town 4
Dorking Wanderers 2
East Grinstead Town 0
Bognor Regis 3
Molesey 1
Didcot 0
Merstham 2
Harlow 6
East Thurrock Utd 4
South Park 0
Peacehaven & Telscombe 0
Tiverton 3
Waltham Abbey 3
Chalfont St Peter 1
Biggleswade Town 1
Grays 2
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Harrow Borough 0
Staines 1
VCD Athletic 2
Frome Town 2
Egham Town 1
Romford 0
Slough Town 4
Lewes 1
Hampton & Richmond 2
Hendon 0
Sudbury 1
Dorchester 2
Chippenham Town 1
Leatherhead 1
Kingstonian 5
Marlow 3
Larkhall 0
Bashley 1
Mangotsfield 6
Canvey Island 2
Needham Market 0
Hornchurch 2
Metropolitan Police 3
Hastings 2
Chipstead 1
Poole Town 0
Merthyr Town 1
Bury Town 2
Kings Langley 0
Herne Bay 4
Walton Casuals 3
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Final
Blyth Spartans 1
Whitby 0
Ashton United 2
Stratford 1
Evesham 1
Spennymoor 2
Buxton 5
Radcliffe 1
Skelmersdale 4
Lincoln Utd. 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 1
Darlington FC 0
Nantwich 5
King’s Lynn 1
Shaw Lane 1
Matlock 2
Leamington 3
Rushall 2
Warrington Town 3
Basford Utd. 0
Marine 3
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 3
Stocksbridge 4
Kettering 0
Burscough 3
Stourbridge 2
Carlton Town 0
Bideford 3
Brentwood 2
Neots 1
Hungerford 2
Haringey Borough 1
Hitchin 4
Thurrock 3
Cheshunt 1
Tonbridge 1
Cirencester 2
Enfield Town 0
Thamesmead 2
Tilbury 4
Royston Town 2
Leiston 1
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Bedford 1
Weymouth 4
Swindon Supermarine 2
Chesham 3
Taunton Town 1
Bognor Regis 4
Molesey 4
Harlow 3
East Thurrock Utd 5
Tiverton 0
Waltham Abbey 0
Grays 2
Dulwich Hamlet 2
VCD Athletic 0
Frome Town 2
Slough Town 1
Hampton & Richmond 3
Sudbury 1
Dorchester 3
Kingstonian 4
Marlow 1
Mangotsfield 0
Canvey Island 0
Metropolitan Police 2
Hastings 1
Merthyr Town 2
Bury Town 3
Herne Bay 2
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