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Benevento vs Verona Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento
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Match Events

17' Event
Pierozzi E.
Assist: Lamesta D.
24' Event
Sarr A.
Assist: Le Borgne A.
32'
Sarr A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Benevento and Verona finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benevento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Benevento
20%
Draws
47%
Verona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Verona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Verona haven't matched Benevento's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Verona taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Benevento Clean Sheet 10%
Verona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benevento Verona
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.86 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Serie B
Benevento vs Verona
3:1
Mar 3, 2021 Serie A
Benevento vs Verona
0:3
Nov 2, 2020 Serie A
Verona vs Benevento
3:1
Apr 22, 2019 Serie B
Verona vs Benevento
0:3
Dec 9, 2018 Serie B
Benevento vs Verona
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benevento Compare

Top Goalscorer Pierozzi E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Okereke D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Verona Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarr A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benevento 22 / 100
Verona 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benevento Verona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Verona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benevento found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Verona has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Benevento has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Benevento VS Verona
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Benevento

(Home)
19 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Benevento
11 Sept
Benevento
3 : 1
Verona
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0
Benevento
30 Aug
Benevento
1 : 1
Sudtirol
22 Aug
Benevento
1 : 2
Modena
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Verona

(Away)
20 Sept
Verona
2 : 1
Vicenza
11 Sept
Benevento
3 : 1
Verona
06 Sept
Verona
5 : 0
Arezzo
03 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 2
Verona
29 Aug
Padova
1 : 1
Verona
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Sudtirol 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Mantova 5 3 2 0 10:5 11
4 Modena 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Ascoli 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Padova 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
7 Benevento 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Verona 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 Avellino 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Cesena 5 1 4 0 7:6 7
11 Pisa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
12 Arezzo 5 2 0 3 6:13 6
13 Empoli 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
14 Entella 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
15 Cremonese 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Vicenza 5 1 2 2 7:10 5
17 Sampdoria 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
18 Juve Stabia 5 1 2 2 4:7 3
19 Catanzaro 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
20 Carrarese 5 0 1 4 2:6 1
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)