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Benfica vs Hang Sai

Macao Macao

Elite League
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Benfica host Hang Sai in the Elite League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Hang Sai have shipped 2.5 goals a game lately, while Benfica have conceded 1.75 and scored 2.75. Past meetings favor Benfica slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2026, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 2.63 vs 1.75, favoring Benfica. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Benfica
22%
Draws
60%
Hang Sai
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Hang Sai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Benfica come out ahead of Hang Sai on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Hang Sai's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • Benfica have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Benfica Clean Sheet 12%
Hang Sai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica Hang Sai
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 2.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Elite League
Hang Sai vs Benfica
0:4
Mar 28, 2025 Elite League
Hang Sai vs Benfica
1:4
Jun 30, 2024 Elite League
Benfica vs Hang Sai
7:0
May 5, 2024 Elite League
Benfica vs Hang Sai
5:2
Apr 7, 2024 Elite League
Hang Sai vs Benfica
3:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica 19 / 100
Hang Sai 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica Hang Sai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hang Sai let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Benfica's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Hang Sai lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Benfica VS Hang Sai
2.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shao Jiang17142183:1644
2Must IPO17132281:1441
3Gala17122352:2138
4Chiba1674538:2825
5Benfica1773744:4124
6Cheng Fung1756629:3621
7G. Universe1662846:6320
8Hang Sai17341033:4413
9Artilheiros17331124:9512
10University of Macau17001713:850