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Benfica vs Hang Sai

Macao Macao

Elite League
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Akwasi B.
29' Event
Leong Hou I.
36' Event
Osei S.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League game between Benfica and Hang Sai finished 4-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hang Sai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Benfica
15%
Draws
46%
Hang Sai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hang Sai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Benfica come out ahead of Hang Sai on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • Benfica have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Benfica Clean Sheet 12%
Hang Sai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica Hang Sai
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 2.2 2.77
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Elite League
Benfica vs Hang Sai
4:5
Apr 24, 2026 Elite League
Hang Sai vs Benfica
0:4
Mar 28, 2025 Elite League
Hang Sai vs Benfica
1:4
Jun 30, 2024 Elite League
Benfica vs Hang Sai
7:0
May 5, 2024 Elite League
Benfica vs Hang Sai
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benfica Compare

Top Goalscorer Lok Him L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Leong Hou I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Hang Sai Compare

Top Goalscorer Osei S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Akwasi B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica 29 / 100
Hang Sai 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica Hang Sai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hang Sai let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.40 goals per match.

Benfica's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Benfica went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Benfica VS Hang Sai
2.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica

(Home)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
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Hang Sai

(Away)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
18 Jul
Artilheiros
4 : 4
Hang Sai
12 Jul
G. Universe
3 : 2
Hang Sai
05 Jul
University of Macau
1 : 7
Hang Sai
26 Jun
Hang Sai
2 : 5
Shao Jiang
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